Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 22′Monza, goal:1–0
- 45′Monza, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 47′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- 51′Monza, goal:3–0assist
- 55′Avellino, substitution:off
- 55′Avellino, substitution:off
- 59′Avellino, substitution:off
- 59′Avellino, substitution:off
- 70′Monza, substitution:off
- 70′Monza, substitution:off
- 73′Avellino, substitution:off
- 81′Monza, substitution:off
- 81′Monza, substitution:off
- 85′Monza, substitution:off
- 90+1′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time3 – 0
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Monza
Avellino
Match report
Varela double sends Monza cruising past Avellino in Coppa Italia
Monza eased into the next round of the Coppa Italia with a comfortable 3-0 win over Avellino in a Round of 64 tie played on 14 August 2026. Gustavo Varela struck twice either side of half-time and Omari Forson added a third early in the second half to put the contest beyond doubt.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Varela opened the scoring in the 22nd minute before doubling his tally right on the stroke of half-time, both goals arriving from Patrick Cutrone assists, to send Monza in 2-0 up at the break. Avellino, managed by Alessandro Nesta, had no reply and the game was effectively settled six minutes into the second half when Forson, again teed up by Cutrone, made it 3-0.
Monza dominated territory and chances throughout, finishing with 57 percent possession and 17 shots to Avellino's three, four of which were on target compared to none for the visitors. Avellino picked up more fouls and the match's only yellow card, while Monza's control was reflected in an advantage of three corners to none.
Cutrone did not get on the scoresheet himself but set up both of Varela's goals and Forson's strike, earning the top rating of the match at 8.5. Varela's brace and Forson's finish also featured prominently among the standout displays on the night.
Monza's 17 shots to Avellino's three underlined how one-sided the contest was in front of goal.
Monza beat Avellino 3–0 (half-time 2–0).
Monza met Avellino in the Coppa Italia (Round of 64). Kick-off was Friday, 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Referee: M. Drigo.
Team pages: Monza · Avellino · Coppa Italia
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Gustavo Varela — 1–0 · Watch Gustavo Varela's goal video (22')
- 45' Goal: Gustavo Varela (assist: Patrick Cutrone) — 2–0 · Watch Gustavo Varela's goal video (45')
- 51' Goal: Omari Forson (assist: Patrick Cutrone) — 3–0 · Watch Omari Forson's goal video (51')
Starting line-ups
Monza (3-4-2-1)
Avellino (4-3-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Monza 66%, the draw 21%, Avellino 13%. It finished Monza 3–0 Avellino.
Monza's rating gap decides it — Monza are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Monza's 66%. The draw at 21% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Monza at 66%?
Monza sit 220 points higher on our strength rating — 1613 to 1394. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,924 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–19–17.
Why only 66%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 66% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Avellino at 13%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,554. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monza scored +0.47 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,759 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Monza vs Avellino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Gustavo Varela's goal against Avellino (22').
- Watch Gustavo Varela's goal against Avellino (45').
- Watch Omari Forson's goal against Avellino (51').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Monza 3–0 Avellino. Explore more on the Monza and Avellino team pages or the Coppa Italia page.