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Match report
Catanzaro and Sudtirol drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1). Sudtirol won the penalty shootout 4–3.
Catanzaro met Sudtirol in the Coppa Italia (Round of 64). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta.
Team pages: Catanzaro · Sudtirol · Coppa Italia
Before kick-off Sirius gave Catanzaro 55%, the draw 24%, Sudtirol 21%. It finished Catanzaro 2–2 Sudtirol.
Catanzaro's rating edge carries it — Catanzaro are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Catanzaro's 55%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Catanzaro sit 172 points higher on our strength rating — 1558 to 1386. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,695 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–20–18.
Sudtirol sit -0.59 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,344 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785.
Catanzaro average 14 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 172 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Catanzaro scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,760 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Catanzaro vs Sudtirol final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Catanzaro 2–2 Sudtirol. Explore more on the Catanzaro and Sudtirol team pages or the Coppa Italia page.
Catanzaro and Sudtirol drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1). Sudtirol won the penalty shootout 4–3.
Niklas Pyyhtiä (17') for Sudtirol; Simone Pafundi (27') for Catanzaro; Pietro Iemmello (53') for Catanzaro; Kenny Mixtur (85') for Sudtirol.
Goal highlights and video clips from Catanzaro 2–2 Sudtirol are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Catanzaro and Sudtirol have met 7 times — 2 wins for Catanzaro, 2 wins for Sudtirol and 3 draws.