Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 17′Sudtirol, goal:0–1
- 27′Catanzaro, goal:1–1assist
- 40′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 53′Catanzaro, goal:2–1
- 62′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 68′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 68′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 69′Catanzaro, yellow card:Foul
- 73′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 73′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 80′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 81′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 81′Catanzaro, substitution:G. Arditioff
- 85′Sudtirol, goal:2–2assist
- 88′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- 90+1′Catanzaro, yellow card:Foul
Catanzaro3
Sudtirol4Lineups
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Catanzaro
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Match report
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol — the facts
Catanzaro and Sudtirol drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1). Sudtirol won the penalty shootout 4–3.
Catanzaro met Sudtirol in the Coppa Italia (Round of 64). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta.
Team pages: Catanzaro · Sudtirol · Coppa Italia
Key moments
- 17' Goal: Niklas Pyyhtiä — 0–1 · Watch Niklas Pyyhtiä's goal video (17')
- 27' Goal: Simone Pafundi (assist: Marco D'Alessandro) — 1–1 · Watch Simone Pafundi's goal video (27')
- 53' Goal: Pietro Iemmello — 2–1 · Watch Pietro Iemmello's goal video (53')
- 85' Goal: Kenny Mixtur (assist: Simone Tronchin) — 2–2 · Watch Kenny Mixtur's goal video (85')
Starting line-ups
Catanzaro (3-4-2-1)
Sudtirol (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Catanzaro 55%, the draw 24%, Sudtirol 21%. It finished Catanzaro 2–2 Sudtirol.
Catanzaro's rating edge carries it — Catanzaro are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Catanzaro's 55%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Catanzaro at 55%?
Catanzaro sit 172 points higher on our strength rating — 1558 to 1386. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,695 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–20–18.
Why only 55%?
Sudtirol sit -0.59 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,344 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785.
What did we measure but not count?
Catanzaro average 14 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 172 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Catanzaro scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,760 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Catanzaro vs Sudtirol final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Niklas Pyyhtiä's goal against Catanzaro (17').
- Watch Simone Pafundi's goal against Sudtirol (27').
- Watch Pietro Iemmello's goal against Sudtirol (53').
- Watch Kenny Mixtur's goal against Catanzaro (85').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Catanzaro 2–2 Sudtirol. Explore more on the Catanzaro and Sudtirol team pages or the Coppa Italia page.