SC Freiburg vs 11.10.26 15:302 – 1Full Time
FC Schalke 04 — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Freiburg beat Schalke 2-1 to go top of the Bundesliga
SC Freiburg beat FC Schalke 04 2-1 in Bundesliga matchday 5 at the Europa-Park-Stadion, a late winner lifting them to the top of the table. The hosts began the day third on 10 points from four games and finished it first on 13 points from five, while Schalke stayed 13th on 5 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Freiburg took the lead in the 10th minute through Maximilian Eggestein, who made it 1-0. Schalke levelled in the 30th minute when Kenan Karaman scored from an Adrian Gantenbein assist, and the sides went in at 1-1 at half-time.
The second half stayed tight until the 85th minute, when Keisuke Goto scored from a Vincenzo Grifo assist to make it 2-1. Freiburg had the better of the chances, with 10 shots to 5 and 4 on target to 1, and won seven corners to Schalke's two. The match produced three goals in total.
Freiburg arrived unbeaten in their last five games, with four wins and a draw, scoring 16 and conceding four. Schalke, managed by Miron Muslić, came in with two wins, two draws and a defeat from their latest five, and were unable to build on their equaliser.
Maximilian Eggestein scored the opening goal and received the highest rating of the match, 7.6. Adrian Gantenbein, rated 7.4, supplied the assist for Schalke's equaliser.
Freiburg had four shots on target to Schalke's one, a gap that reflected their greater threat despite near-even possession of 51 per cent to 49.
SC Freiburg beat FC Schalke 04 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
SC Freiburg met FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Europa-Park-Stadion. Referee: Martin Petersen. Attendance: 34,700.
Team pages: SC Freiburg · FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Maximilian Eggestein — 1–0 · Watch Maximilian Eggestein's goal video (10')
- 30' Goal: Kenan Karaman (assist: Adrian Gantenbein) — 1–1
- 85' Goal: Keisuke Goto (assist: Vincenzo Grifo) — 2–1 · Watch Keisuke Goto's goal video (85')
Starting line-ups
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
FC Schalke 04 (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SC Freiburg 73%, the draw 16%, FC Schalke 04 11%. It finished SC Freiburg 2–1 FC Schalke 04.
SC Freiburg's rating gap decides it — SC Freiburg are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of SC Freiburg's 73%. The draw at 16% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why SC Freiburg at 73%?
SC Freiburg sit 244 points higher on our strength rating — 1760 to 1516. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,553 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–16–12.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SC Freiburg's column. Across 11,278 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 15.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,880. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SC Freiburg have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than FC Schalke 04 in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. FC Schalke 04 are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Maximilian Eggestein's goal against FC Schalke 04 (10').
- Watch Keisuke Goto's goal against FC Schalke 04 (85').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SC Freiburg 2–1 FC Schalke 04. Explore more on the SC Freiburg and FC Schalke 04 team pages or the Bundesliga page.