FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 18′FC Augsburg, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′SC Freiburg, substitution:off
- 52′SC Freiburg, yellow card:
- 62′SC Freiburg, substitution:off
- 62′SC Freiburg, substitution:off
- 65′SC Freiburg, goal:1–1assist
- 76′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 76′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 76′SC Freiburg, substitution:off
- 83′SC Freiburg, yellow card:
- 83′SC Freiburg, substitution:off
- 83′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 83′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 85′SC Freiburg, goal:1–2assist
- 88′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 90+1′SC Freiburg, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
Match report
SC Freiburg come from behind to beat FC Augsburg 2-1
SC Freiburg won 2-1 at FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga Matchday 8 fixture at the WWK Arena, turning the game around with two goals in the final 25 minutes. Augsburg led at half-time through Michael Gregoritsch but could not hold on, and the result lifted Freiburg to 16 points from eight games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Gregoritsch opened the scoring in the 18th minute, finishing from Arijon Ibrahimović's assist to make it 1-0. Augsburg took that lead into the interval and carried the greater share of the ball, with 52 per cent possession to Freiburg's 48.
Freiburg levelled in the 65th minute when Igor Matanović scored from Keisuke Goto's assist. Twenty minutes later, in the 85th, Cyriaque Irié struck from Vincenzo Grifo's assist to make it 2-1. Freiburg stayed third in the table, seven points clear of ninth-placed Augsburg, who stayed ninth on 9 points.
Augsburg travel to RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November. Freiburg are next away to Trabzonspor in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November.
Gregoritsch scored Augsburg's goal and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.94, though it ended in defeat. Ibrahimović, who set up that goal, was rated 7.71.
Augsburg put 5 of their 14 shots on target, while Freiburg managed just 2 on target from their 10 attempts yet still took all three points.
SC Freiburg won 2–1 away against FC Augsburg (half-time 1–0).
FC Augsburg met SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at WWK Arena. Referee: Christian Dingert. Attendance: 30,660.
Team pages: FC Augsburg · SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Michael Gregoritsch (assist: Arijon Ibrahimović) — 1–0 · Watch Michael Gregoritsch's goal video (18')
- 65' Goal: Igor Matanović (assist: Yannik Engelhardt) — 1–1
- 85' Goal: Cyriaque Irié (assist: Vincenzo Grifo) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
FC Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Augsburg 31%, the draw 26%, SC Freiburg 43%. It finished FC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg.
Freiburg's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — SC Freiburg lead mainly because our strength rating puts them 97 points higher, 1744 to 1647, and their habit of controlling the ball adds a little more, outweighing FC Augsburg's usual home advantage. The draw sits at 26%, a touch below the usual 28% for a gap this size, because both sides' recent games average 4.0 goals.
Why SC Freiburg at 43%?
SC Freiburg sit 97 points higher on our strength rating — 1744 to 1647. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,840 such games. SC Freiburg hold 6 more possession points (53 to 47 in recent games) across a 97-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,322 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–28–42.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and FC Augsburg at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Augsburg scored +0.45 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,194 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. SC Freiburg scored +0.49 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg. Explore more on the FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg team pages or the Bundesliga page.