Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 8′Famalicao, goal:1–0assist
- 21′Maritimo, goal:1–1
- 42′Maritimo, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 46′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 46′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 50′Famalicao, yellow card:Foul
- 68′Maritimo, yellow card:Foul
- 73′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 73′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 76′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 80′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 85′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 88′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 88′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 90′Maritimo, goal:1–2
- Full-time1 – 2
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Famalicao
Maritimo
Match report
Maritimo snatch late win at Famalicao despite dominant home showing
Famalicao suffered a 2-1 defeat to Maritimo in a Primeira Liga round two fixture at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, a result that leaves Carlos Carvalhal's side without a win from their opening two matches while Maritimo climbed to third in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts made the brighter start and led inside eight minutes when Finn van Breemen converted an Óscar Aranda assist to put Famalicao 1-0 ahead. Maritimo responded quickly, though, with Mohamed Diouri levelling matters on 21 minutes to send the sides in level at the break.
The contest remained finely poised deep into stoppage time, with Famalicao unable to find a second goal despite controlling long spells of possession. Maurice Osei Boakye then struck in the fourth minute of added time to snatch victory for the visitors, completing a smash-and-grab win on the road.
Van Breemen scored the opening goal for Famalicao and finished with a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on view, though it was not enough to prevent defeat.
Famalicao dominated territory with 67% possession yet were undone by a more clinical Maritimo side, whose 1.61 expected goals figure outstripped their hosts' 0.58.
Maritimo won 2–1 away against Famalicao (half-time 1–1).
Famalicao met Maritimo in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao. Referee: Miguel Nogueira.
Team pages: Famalicao · Maritimo · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Finn van Breemen (assist: Óscar Aranda) — 1–0 · Watch Finn van Breemen's goal video (8')
- 21' Goal: Simo Bouzaidi — 1–1
- 90' Goal: Maurice Osei Boakye — 1–2 · Watch Maurice Osei Boakye's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Famalicao (4-2-3-1)
Maritimo (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Famalicao 66%, the draw 21%, Maritimo 13%. It finished Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo.
Famalicao's rating gap decides it — Famalicao are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Famalicao's 66%. The draw at 21% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Famalicao at 66%?
Famalicao sit 277 points higher on our strength rating — 1720 to 1443. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,930 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–19–13.
Why only 66%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Famalicao's column. Across 10,596 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,797. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 8 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,500 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. Maritimo are newly promoted — game 2 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Famalicao vs Maritimo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Finn van Breemen's goal against Maritimo (8').
- Watch Maurice Osei Boakye's goal against Famalicao (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo. Explore more on the Famalicao and Maritimo team pages or the Primeira Liga page.