Match Events
- 29′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 46′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 57′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 57′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 62′Guimaraes, yellow card:Argument
- 62′Casa Pia, yellow card:Argument
- 63′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 66′Guimaraes, yellow card:Tiago Miguel Carvalho MargaridoDissent
- 70′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 71′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 71′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 72′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Guimaraes, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 87′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- Full-time
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Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Match report
Guimaraes held scoreless by resolute Casa Pia despite dominating possession
Guimaraes and Casa Pia played out a goalless draw in matchday five of the Primeira Liga, a result that left both sides still searching for consistency in the early weeks of the season. Neither team found a breakthrough across ninety minutes, with the scoreline still level at half-time and remaining that way until the final whistle.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side dominated territory throughout, racking up 29 shots to Casa Pia's seven and enjoying 74 per cent of possession, yet could not turn that command into a goal. Casa Pia, managed by Filipe Coelho, sat deep and absorbed pressure, conceding 17 corners but limiting Guimaraes to eight shots on target from their considerable share of the ball.
Discipline was tested on both sides, with 16 fouls committed by Guimaraes against six from the visitors, though only four yellow cards were shown in total and no player was sent off. The draw leaves Guimaraes on four points in 11th position, while Casa Pia remain 18th with a single point from five matches played.
Ivan Mandić produced the standout display of the afternoon for Casa Pia, earning a rating of 8.02 as his side held firm against sustained pressure to keep a clean sheet.
Guimaraes' 74 per cent possession share underlined just how much of the match they controlled without managing to convert that dominance into goals.
Guimaraes and Casa Pia drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Guimaraes met Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 17:00 UTC at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. Referee: Gustavo Correia.
Team pages: Guimaraes · Casa Pia · Primeira Liga
Starting line-ups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
- 48 Oliwier Zych
- 13 João Mendes
- 5 Ahmed Sidibé
- 28 Thiago Balieiro
- 23 Tony Strata
- 44 Lohann Doucet
- 16 Beni
- 11 Gustavo
- 20 Samu (c)
- 17 Miguel Nogueira
- 24 Alioune Ndoye
Casa Pia (4-2-3-1)
- 31 André Gomes
- 75 Pedro Rosas
- 43 David Sousa
- 3 Kaly
- 18 André Geraldes (c)
- 80 Lawrence Ofori
- 16 Selvi Clua
- 77 Benjamin Pauwels
- 70 João Rêgo
- 19 Kevin Prieto
- 20 Alassana Jatta
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Guimaraes 52%, the draw 30%, Casa Pia 18%. It finished Guimaraes 0–0 Casa Pia.
Guimaraes' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Guimaraes are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Guimaraes the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Guimaraes at 52%?
Guimaraes sit 200 points higher on our strength rating — 1673 to 1473. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,784 such games. Guimaraes sit -0.61 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,420 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–27–16.
Why only 52%?
Casa Pia sit -0.59 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,420 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Guimaraes's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Casa Pia win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,180. The goals environment adds 3.1 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Guimaraes average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 200 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Casa Pia have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Guimaraes vs Casa Pia final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Guimaraes and Casa Pia team pages or the Primeira Liga page.