Match Events
- 30′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Estoril, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time
- 46′Arouca, substitution:off
- 46′Estoril, substitution:off
- 71′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Estoril, substitution:off
- 75′Arouca, substitution:off
- 75′Arouca, substitution:off
- 78′Estoril, substitution:off
- 79′Estoril, substitution:off
- 85′Arouca, substitution:off
- 85′Estoril, substitution:off
- 86′Arouca, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time
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Estoril
Arouca
Match report
Estoril and Arouca share goalless stalemate at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril and Arouca played out a goalless draw in Primeira Liga matchday 5, a result that did little to ease the hosts' struggles near the bottom of the table while Arouca stayed comfortably in fifth. There was no scoring in either half, and the contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota ended level, mirroring the sides' respective league positions of 17th and fifth before kick-off.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
With no goals or cards of note beyond the bookings shown, the match was instead shaped by Estoril's territorial dominance in front of goal. The home side managed 18 shots to Arouca's 12 and forced eight on target compared to just two for the visitors, yet could not find a breakthrough against Vasco Seabra's defence.
Referee Fábio Veríssimo booked four Estoril players and one from Arouca as the game grew increasingly physical, with 12 fouls committed by the hosts against nine from the away side. Despite dominating corners eight to two, Estoril's profligacy in front of goal proved costly as the point left them still searching for their first win in five outings.
Ignacio de Arruabarrena was the highest-rated player on the pitch with an 8.8 mark, helping Arouca frustrate Estoril's heavy attacking pressure without conceding.
Estoril's eight shots on target against Arouca's two underlined their attacking intent, even though it yielded no goals.
Estoril and Arouca drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Estoril met Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Monday, 7 September 2026, 19:15 UTC at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Referee: Fábio Veríssimo.
Team pages: Estoril · Arouca · Primeira Liga
Starting line-ups
Estoril (4-2-3-1)
Arouca (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Estoril 38%, the draw 30%, Arouca 32%. It finished Estoril 0–0 Arouca.
Home ground outweighs Arouca's rating edge — Arouca are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus Arouca's hot finishing due to cool give Estoril the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Estoril at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Arouca sit 68 points higher on our strength rating — 1559 to 1627. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,608 such games. Arouca scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 28.9% of 1,486 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 38%?
Because Arouca are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Estoril's column. Across 11,016 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,774. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The cool-off factor takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Estoril have shed 78 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,722 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last five: Estoril L-D-L-L-L, Arouca W-W-W-L-W — Arouca are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2202 games when clearly hotter and 42.8% of 4027 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Estoril vs Arouca final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Estoril and Arouca team pages or the Primeira Liga page.