Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 28′Guimaraes, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 53′Academico Viseu, goal:1–0
- 60′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 67′Guimaraes, goal:1–1assist
- 68′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 68′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 75′Guimaraes, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 77′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 77′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 80′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 86′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 88′Guimaraes, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 90′Academico Viseu, goal:2–1
- 90′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 90+4′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 90+5′Guimaraes, red card:Violent conduct
- 90+5′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
Academico Viseu
Guimaraes
Match report
Late Bouldini strike wins it for Academico Viseu against Guimaraes
Academico Viseu came from a level scoreline at the break to beat Guimaraes 2-1 in Primeira Liga matchday six action. Lorougnon Gohi broke the deadlock in the 53th minute before Gonçalo Nogueira, assisted by Alan, levelled for the visitors in the 67th minute, setting up a tense finish.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The decisive moment arrived deep into stoppage time when Mohamed Bouldini restored the hosts' lead in the 90+3rd minute. Guimaraes were then reduced to ten men two minutes later as Alioune Ndoye was sent off, and Academico Viseu saw out the remainder to secure all three points.
Despite having less of the ball and fewer efforts on goal, Academico Viseu made their moments count, while Guimaraes were unable to convert their territorial advantage into a result.
Gonçalo Nogueira scored the away side's equaliser and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.14, though it was ultimately not enough to prevent defeat.
Guimaraes dominated possession with 54% of the ball and registered 22 shots to Academico Viseu's 11, yet still left without a point.
Academico Viseu beat Guimaraes 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Academico Viseu met Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 19:30 UTC at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo. Referee: Carlos Macedo.
Team pages: Academico Viseu · Guimaraes · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Lorougnon Gohi — 1–0
- 67' Goal: Gonçalo Nogueira (assist: Alan) — 1–1
- 90' Goal: Mohamed Bouldini — 2–1
- 90+5' Red card: Alioune Ndoye
Starting line-ups
Academico Viseu (4-1-4-1)
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
- 48 Oliwier Zych
- 13 João Mendes
- 5 Ahmed Sidibé
- 28 Thiago Balieiro
- 23 Tony Strata
- 44 Lohann Doucet
- 16 Beni
- 7 Oumar Camara
- 20 Samu (c)
- 11 Gustavo
- 9 Arnel Jakupovic
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Academico Viseu 27%, the draw 36%, Guimaraes 37%. It finished Academico Viseu 2–1 Guimaraes.
Anyone's game — Guimaraes are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover plus their control of the ball is not enough to separate them. The draw at 36% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Guimaraes at 37%?
Guimaraes sit 66 points higher on our strength rating — 1607 to 1673. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,621 such games. Guimaraes sit -0.61 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.5% of 1,362 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally. Guimaraes hold 10 more possession points (56 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,582 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. The 300 most similar past games finished 40–32–28.
Why only 37%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 37% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 36% and Academico Viseu at 27%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Academico Viseu win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 1.9 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,201. The goals environment adds 3.7 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Academico Viseu are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Academico Viseu and Guimaraes team pages or the Primeira Liga page.