Match Events
- 18′Alverca, yellow card:Foul
- 34′Alverca, goal:0–1assist
- 36′Alverca, goal:0–2assist
- 42′Alverca, goal:0–3assist
- Half-time0 – 3
- 46′Nacional, substitution:off
- 46′Nacional, substitution:off
- 48′Alverca, yellow card:Foul
- 54′Nacional, substitution:off
- 65′Alverca, substitution:off
- 65′Alverca, substitution:off
- 69′Nacional, substitution:off
- 72′Alverca, substitution:off
- 73′Alverca, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Nacional, substitution:off
- 79′Alverca, substitution:off
- 79′Alverca, substitution:off
- 81′Nacional, goal:1–3
- Full-time1 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Goals
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Player Ratings
Nacional
Alverca
Match report
Alverca blitz Nacional with three first-half goals to win 3-1
Alverca claimed a 3-1 away win over Nacional in matchday six of the Primeira Liga, built entirely on a devastating spell either side of the half-hour mark. The result lifted Sergio Ferreira's side to fifth in recent form while Nacional, who had won only once in their previous five outings, slipped further into the table's lower reaches.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Francisco Chissumba opened the scoring in the 34th minute, finishing off a Chiquinho assist, before Dawda Camara struck twice in quick succession, in the 36th and 42nd minutes, both teed up by Diogo Spencer. Nacional went in at the break already 3-0 down despite the game being only a little past its midpoint.
Matchoi Djaló pulled one back for Nacional in the 81st minute, but it proved no more than a consolation as Alverca held firm to see out the win. Nacional finished with three yellow cards to Alverca's none, a sign of the frustration that built as the home side chased the game.
Dawda Camara scored twice and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.58, while Diogo Spencer's two assists underlined his influence in laying on Alverca's decisive goals.
Despite Nacional's dominance in possession at 57 percent, Alverca were far more clinical, converting three of their ten shots compared to Nacional's single goal from thirteen attempts.
Alverca won 3–1 away against Nacional (half-time 0–3).
Nacional met Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 14:30 UTC at Estádio da Madeira. Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca.
Team pages: Nacional · Alverca · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 34' Goal: Francisco Chissumba (assist: Chiquinho) — 0–1
- 36' Goal: Dawda Camara (assist: Diogo Spencer) — 0–2
- 42' Goal: Dawda Camara (assist: Diogo Spencer) — 0–3
- 81' Goal: Matchoi Djaló — 1–3
Starting line-ups
Nacional (4-2-3-1)
Alverca (3-4-3)
- 31 Matheus Mendes
- 12 Isaac James
- 21 Sergi Gómez (c)
- 4 Yahya Bojang
- 55 Francisco Chissumba
- 25 Ian Luccas
- 6 Davy Gui
- 20 Diogo Spencer
- 22 Figueiredo
- 19 Dawda Camara
- 10 Chiquinho
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nacional 37%, the draw 33%, Alverca 30%. It finished Nacional 1–3 Alverca.
Home ground outweighs Alverca's rating edge — Alverca are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus Nacional's control of the ball give Nacional the lean. The draw at 33% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Nacional at 37%?
Home ground, against the rating. Alverca sit 92 points higher on our strength rating — 1485 to 1577. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,621 such games. Nacional hold 5 more possession points (49 to 44 in recent games) across a 92-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,670 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 37%?
Because Alverca are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Nacional's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Alverca win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,797. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nacional come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals and 11 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Alverca come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals and 13 departures over the summer.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nacional vs Alverca final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Nacional and Alverca team pages or the Primeira Liga page.