HighlightsVSPORTS - Liga PortugalYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 27′Casa Pia, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 41′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Estoril, substitution:off
- 46′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 60′Estoril, substitution:off
- 60′Estoril, substitution:off
- 62′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- 65′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 65′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 70′Estoril, goal:1–0assist
- 72′Casa Pia, goal:1–1assist
- 74′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 80′Estoril, substitution:off
- 80′Estoril, substitution:off
- 82′Estoril, yellow card:Argument
- 85′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 89′Casa Pia, goal:1–2assist
- 90+5′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
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Estoril
Casa Pia
Match report
Casa Pia come from behind to beat Estoril and claim first league win of the season
Casa Pia won their first league game of the season, coming from behind to beat Estoril 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on Matchday 7 at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The result ended a run of six league games without a win for the visitors and left Estoril without a victory in 15 games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless at half-time and remained so until the 70th minute, when Ricard Sánchez put Estoril ahead from a Jordan Holsgrove assist. The lead lasted only two minutes. Silvi levelled in the 72nd minute, set up by Lawrence Ofori, to turn the contest on its head.
Benjamin Pauwels settled it in the 89th minute, finishing from a Sebastián Pérez assist to make it 2-1 to the away side. Estoril had 53% of possession and took 14 shots to 11, six of them on target to Casa Pia's three, but could not find a second goal.
The result moved Casa Pia up to 17th on four points, with Estoril dropping to 18th on two. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Casa Pia a 23% chance of winning.
Ivan Mandić earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.3, in a performance that helped Casa Pia hold firm after going behind. Holsgrove, rated 7.9, created Estoril's goal for Sánchez.
Casa Pia scored twice from three shots on target, while Estoril managed one from six.
Casa Pia won 2–1 away against Estoril (half-time 0–0).
Estoril met Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 17:00 UTC at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Referee: Pedro Ramalho.
Team pages: Estoril · Casa Pia · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 70' Goal: Ricard Sánchez (assist: Jordan Holsgrove) — 1–0 · Watch Ricard Sánchez's goal video (70')
- 72' Goal: Selvi Clua (assist: Lawrence Ofori) — 1–1 · Watch Selvi Clua's goal video (72')
- 89' Goal: Benjamin Pauwels (assist: Sebastián Pérez) — 1–2 · Watch Benjamin Pauwels's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Estoril (4-2-3-1)
Casa Pia (4-2-3-1)
- 95 Ivan Mandić
- 75 Pedro Rosas
- 43 David Sousa
- 3 Kaly
- 18 André Geraldes (c)
- 80 Lawrence Ofori
- 16 Selvi Clua
- 98 JP
- 70 João Rêgo
- 11 Mohamed El Boukammiri
- 9 Henrique Araújo
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Estoril 46%, the draw 31%, Casa Pia 23%. It finished Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia.
Estoril's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Estoril are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Estoril the lean. The draw at 31% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Estoril at 46%?
Estoril sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1557 to 1470. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,491 such games. Estoril hold 6 more possession points (48 to 42 in recent games) across a 87-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,703 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 46%?
Casa Pia sit -0.50 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.4% of 1,378 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Casa Pia win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 18,230. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Estoril sit -0.40 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Estoril have shed 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,779 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Estoril vs Casa Pia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ricard Sánchez's goal against Casa Pia (70').
- Watch Selvi Clua's goal against Estoril (72').
- Watch Benjamin Pauwels's goal against Estoril (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia. Explore more on the Estoril and Casa Pia team pages or the Primeira Liga page.