Estoril vs Moreirense — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsVSPORTS - Liga PortugalYouTubeMatch Events
- 12′Moreirense, goal:0–1
- 15′Moreirense, goal:0–2
- 23′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- 27′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- 28′Moreirense, goal:0–3
- Half-time0 – 3
- 46′Estoril, substitution:off
- 46′Estoril, substitution:off
- 58′Estoril, substitution:off
- 58′Estoril, substitution:off
- 59′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 69′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 69′Estoril, substitution:off
- 69′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 80′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 81′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 90′Moreirense, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Estoril, goal:1–3
- 90+2′Estoril, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 3
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Estoril
Moreirense
Match report
Moreirense stun Estoril with three first-half goals in 3-1 win
Moreirense won 3-1 away to Estoril at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Primeira Liga matchday 9, with all three of their goals arriving inside the opening half hour. The result lifted them from 12th to 10th in the table and left Estoril rooted in 18th with two points from nine games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Manuel Mendonça struck in the 12th minute to put the visitors ahead, and Tiago Andrade doubled the lead three minutes later. Nile John made it 3-0 in the 28th minute, and Estoril went in at the interval with a three-goal deficit and little to show for it.
Estoril had the greater share of the ball, with 57% possession, and took the shots to 26 against 13, but only reduced the deficit in the 90th minute plus four, when Peixinho scored. The goal made it 1-3 and was nothing more than a consolation. Estoril are now without a win in 18 games, while Moreirense ended a run of three games without a win.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Moreirense a 26% chance of winning. Moreirense return to Primeira Liga action at home to Estrela on Saturday, while Estoril travel to FC Porto on the same day.
Nile John scored the third goal in the 28th minute and earned a rating of 8.2, level with Tiago Andrade, who netted the second. André Ferreira also impressed for the visitors with a rating of 7.85.
Estoril outshot Moreirense by 26 shots to 13 yet still lost by two goals.
Moreirense won 3–1 away against Estoril (half-time 0–3).
Estoril met Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Referee: Carlos Macedo.
Team pages: Estoril · Moreirense · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Manuel Mendonça — 0–1
- 15' Goal: Tiago Andrade — 0–2
- 28' Goal: Nile John — 0–3
- 90' Goal: Peixinho — 1–3
Starting line-ups
Estoril (4-3-3)
Moreirense (4-2-3-1)
- 13 André Ferreira
- 27 Kiko
- 4 Kevyn Monteiro
- 66 Gilberto Batista
- 76 Dinis Pinto (c)
- 65 Guilherme Liberato
- 23 Nile John
- 19 Tiago Andrade
- 7 Manuel Mendonça
- 10 Kiko Bondoso
- 79 Leonardo Vonić
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Estoril 45%, the draw 29%, Moreirense 26%. It finished Estoril 1–3 Moreirense.
Estoril's control of the ball gives them a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Estoril's home advantage and their habit of holding more of the ball, 48 to 41 possession in recent games, put them in front at 45%, though Moreirense's fractionally higher rating pulls slightly the other way. The draw sits at 29%, up from a usual 27% because both teams' recent games average just 2.3 goals.
Why Estoril in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1439 to 1456. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,614 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Estoril hold 7 more possession points (48 to 41 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,598 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 29% and Moreirense at 26%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Moreirense win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 19,773. The goals environment adds 3.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Estoril sit -0.38 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Estoril have shed 75 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,371 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Estoril vs Moreirense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Estoril 1–3 Moreirense. Explore more on the Estoril and Moreirense team pages or the Primeira Liga page.