HighlightsVSPORTS - Liga PortugalYouTubeMatch Events
- 31′Casa Pia, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 60′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 60′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 61′Estrela, substitution:off
- 61′Estrela, substitution:off
- 68′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Estrela, substitution:off
- 72′Estrela, substitution:off
- 78′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 78′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 83′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 83′Estrela, substitution:off
- 90+2′Casa Pia, goal:0–2assist
- 90+4′Estrela, yellow card:Argument
- 90+4′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Estrela
Casa Pia
Match report
Casa Pia win 2-0 at Estrela to climb out of the relegation places
Casa Pia won 2-0 away to Estrela in a Primeira Liga Matchday 9 fixture at Estadio Jose Gomes, a result that lifted them from 17th to 16th in the table. The visitors were outplayed in terms of possession and shots, yet took their chances when they came and left with all three points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal of a tight first half arrived in the 31st minute. Mohamed El Boukammiri supplied the pass and João Rêgo finished to put Casa Pia ahead, and they held that lead through the interval. Estrela dominated the ball after the break, forcing a succession of corners and efforts on goal, but could not find an equaliser.
The contest was settled deep into stoppage time. Henrique Araújo created the opening for Lawrence Ofori, who scored in the 90+2 minute to make it 2-0 and end Estrela's hopes. The result left Casa Pia on 7 points from nine games, three behind tenth-placed Estrela, who stayed on 10.
Casa Pia are next at home to Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on Friday 30 October, while Estrela travel to Moreirense in the same competition on Saturday 31 October.
João Rêgo scored the opening goal after 31 minutes and earned a rating of 8.2, level with fellow scorer Lawrence Ofori, who added the second in stoppage time.
Estrela had 63% of the possession but still lost, with Casa Pia holding just 37% of the ball.
Casa Pia won 2–0 away against Estrela (half-time 0–1).
Estrela met Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at Estádio José Gomes. Referee: Bruno José Costa.
Team pages: Estrela · Casa Pia · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 31' Goal: João Rêgo (assist: Mohamed El Boukammiri) — 0–1
- 90+2' Goal: Lawrence Ofori (assist: Henrique Araújo) — 0–2
Starting line-ups
Estrela (4-5-1)
Casa Pia (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Estrela 41%, the draw 27%, Casa Pia 32%. It finished Estrela 0–2 Casa Pia.
Home advantage edges Estrela ahead of level sides — Our strength rating has almost nothing between these sides, so the usual home advantage is what puts Estrela in front at 41%, though both finishing streaks pull towards Casa Pia, whose cold run in front of goal tends to bounce back. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate between sides this level, with the small changes largely cancelling out.
Why Estrela in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1436 to 1418. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,522 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 41%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Casa Pia sit -0.49 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,642 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Estrela scored +0.51 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,643 games, vs 27.8% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 27%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159. The bounce-back factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Estrela have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Casa Pia have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Estrela vs Casa Pia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Estrela 0–2 Casa Pia. Explore more on the Estrela and Casa Pia team pages or the Primeira Liga page.