FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 46′FC St. Pauli, goal:1–0assist
- 51′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, goal:1–1assist
- 61′FC St. Pauli, yellow card:Argument
- 70′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 73′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 76′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 76′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 79′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 85′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 85′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 87′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 87′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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FC St. Pauli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Match report
St Pauli held to draw by Fürth after early second-half salvo
FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth shared the points in a 1-1 draw on the opening matchday of the 2. Bundesliga season, played at the Millerntor-Stadion under referee Harm Osmers. The scoreline stayed level despite a goal apiece arriving in quick succession right after the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The deadlock, still 0-0 at half-time, was broken almost immediately when Marcus Mathisen struck in the 46th minute, finishing off an assist from Branimir Hrgota to put the hosts ahead. Fürth responded swiftly, as Felix Klaus levelled matters in the 52nd minute after being set up by Jannik Dehm, restoring parity that held for the remainder of the contest.
St. Pauli dominated general play with 58 percent of possession and edged the shot count 17 to 15, while also winning nine corners to Fürth's two. Fürth, however, were sharper in front of goal, landing seven shots on target compared to the hosts' six, even as St. Pauli's expected goals figure of 1.91 outstripped Fürth's 1.55.
Marcus Mathisen scored the opening goal and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.6, capping a productive afternoon for the St. Pauli defender.
St. Pauli's dominance in territory was clear, with 58 percent possession against Fürth's 42.
FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
FC St. Pauli met SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 9 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Millerntor-Stadion. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Team pages: FC St. Pauli · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Marcus Mathisen (assist: Branimir Hrgota) — 1–0 · Watch Marcus Mathisen's goal video (46')
- 51' Goal: Felix Klaus (assist: Jannik Dehm) — 1–1 · Watch Felix Klaus's goal video (51')
Starting line-ups
FC St. Pauli (3-4-1-2)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC St. Pauli 54%, the draw 29%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%. It finished FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
FC St. Pauli's rating edge, but the draw is in play — FC St. Pauli are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives FC St. Pauli the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why FC St. Pauli at 54%?
FC St. Pauli sit 130 points higher on our strength rating — 1589 to 1459. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,664 such games. FC St. Pauli sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,331 such games where the class table expected 36.2%. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–20–17.
Why only 54%?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth hold 11 more possession points (55 to 44 in recent games) across a 130-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,575 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims FC St. Pauli's column. Across 10,529 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the SpVgg Greuther Fürth win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,529. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC St. Pauli have shed 67 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,592 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: FC St. Pauli 3 wins, 2 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 win. Most recently FC St. Pauli 3–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 3 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5032 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Marcus Mathisen's goal against SpVgg Greuther Fürth (46').
- Watch Felix Klaus's goal against FC St. Pauli (51').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Explore more on the FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.