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Dynamo Dresden vs 05.09.26 18:301 – 2Full Time
VfL Bochum — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
VfL Bochum won 2–1 away against Dynamo Dresden (half-time 1–2).
Dynamo Dresden met VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · VfL Bochum · 2. Bundesliga
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dynamo Dresden 41%, the draw 29%, VfL Bochum 30%. It finished Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum.
Home ground outweighs VfL Bochum's rating edge — VfL Bochum are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus Dynamo Dresden's control of the ball give Dynamo Dresden the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Home ground, against the rating. VfL Bochum sit 51 points higher on our strength rating — 1493 to 1544. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,581 such games. Dynamo Dresden hold 10 more possession points (56 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,196 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Because VfL Bochum are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Dynamo Dresden's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,965. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
Dynamo Dresden have gained 93 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,294 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. VfL Bochum come into this after a busy window — 28 arrivals and 34 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum. Explore more on the Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.
VfL Bochum won 2–1 away against Dynamo Dresden (half-time 1–2).
Kōji Miyoshi (3') for VfL Bochum; Kōji Miyoshi (25') for VfL Bochum; Ben Bobzien (41') for Dynamo Dresden.
Goal highlights and video clips from Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum have met 10 times — 4 wins for Dynamo Dresden, 3 wins for VfL Bochum and 3 draws.