SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 12′1. FC Heidenheim, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 64′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 65′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 66′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, yellow card:Foul
- 73′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 73′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 79′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 79′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 84′SpVgg Greuther Fürth, substitution:off
- 85′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 85′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 90+1′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 90+4′1. FC Heidenheim, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
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Key Stats
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Heidenheim
Match report
Zivzivadze strike gives Heidenheim win despite Fürth's territorial dominance
1. FC Heidenheim left Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer with a 1-0 win over SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the fourth round of the 2. Bundesliga, a result that stretched their unbeaten away form into the top three of the table. Budu Zivzivadze settled the contest early, and it proved enough to hold off a Fürth side that dominated the ball but could not find a breakthrough.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Zivzivadze put the visitors ahead in the 12th minute, finishing off an assist from Marcel Costly to make it 0-1, and that scoreline stood through half-time and beyond. Heidenheim showed the composure to protect their lead for the remaining 78 minutes despite facing sustained Fürth pressure for long spells of the second half.
Fürth held 68 percent of possession and won seven corners to Heidenheim's two, but their 14 shots yielded only five on target, the same number the away side managed from just six attempts. Konrad Oldhafer booked one player from each side as Heidenheim's disciplined defending saw out a result that lifted them to third in the standings, while Fürth remained down in 12th.
Zivzivadze was the difference for Heidenheim, scoring the only goal of the match and earning the highest rating on the pitch at 8.07.
Fürth's 68 percent share of possession told the story of a match they controlled territorially yet still lost.
1. FC Heidenheim won 1–0 away against SpVgg Greuther Fürth (half-time 0–1).
SpVgg Greuther Fürth met 1. FC Heidenheim in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 11:30 UTC at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer. Referee: Konrad Oldhafer.
Team pages: SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Budu Zivzivadze (assist: Marcel Costly) — 0–1 · Watch Budu Zivzivadze's goal video (12')
Starting line-ups
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (4-4-2)
1. FC Heidenheim (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth 31%, the draw 27%, 1. FC Heidenheim 42%. It finished SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim.
1. FC Heidenheim's rating edge outweighs SpVgg Greuther Fürth's home ground — 1. FC Heidenheim are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives 1. FC Heidenheim the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why 1. FC Heidenheim at 42%?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 161 points higher on our strength rating — 1449 to 1611. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,146 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SpVgg Greuther Fürth's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–27–43.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 31%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,128. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth average 6 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 161 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. 1. FC Heidenheim scored +0.44 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,838 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim. Explore more on the SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Heidenheim team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.