Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 12′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:Foul
- 16′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:Foul
- 34′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 36′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:Foul
- 41′1. FC Nürnberg, goal:0–1assist
- 45+1′Holstein Kiel, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 50′Holstein Kiel, goal:2–1assist
- 56′1. FC Nürnberg, goal:2–2assist
- 63′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 63′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 63′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 63′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 65′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:Foul
- 72′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 77′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 83′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 85′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 85′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
Match report
Kiel and Nürnberg share four goals in Holstein-Stadion thriller
Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 2-2 in a lively 2. Bundesliga round four fixture at the Holstein-Stadion, with the league leaders twice hauled back by the hosts. The result left Nürnberg top of the table on 10 points from four games, while Kiel remain down in 15th with three.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Nürnberg struck first when Adam Marhiev converted a J. Fernandez assist in the 41st minute, but Kiel drew level almost immediately through Phil Harres, who finished from an Adrián Kaprálik pass in first-half stoppage time to make it 1-1 at the break.
The second half continued in the same pattern. Kaprálik turned scorer himself five minutes after the restart, latching onto a Jonas Meffert assist to put Kiel 2-1 ahead, only for Piet Scobel to restore parity for Nürnberg in the 56th minute, teed up by Marhiev, and the scoreline stayed at 2-2 thereafter.
Kiel had more of the ball and produced more shots on target across the contest, yet neither side could find a winner despite the frequent change of lead through the opening hour.
Marhiev both scored and set up a goal for Nürnberg, a display that earned him the highest rating of the match at 8.52, while Kaprálik matched him with a goal and an assist of his own for Kiel.
Kiel held 56% of possession and had more shots on target than their visitors, reflecting their control without translating into a winning goal.
Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Holstein Kiel met 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 11:00 UTC at Holstein-Stadion. Referee: Tobias Stieler.
Team pages: Holstein Kiel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Adam Markhiev (assist: J. Fernandez) — 0–1 · Watch Adam Markhiev's goal video (41')
- 45+1' Goal: Phil Harres (assist: Adrián Kaprálik) — 1–1 · Watch Phil Harres's goal video (45+1')
- 50' Goal: Adrián Kaprálik (assist: Jonas Meffert) — 2–1 · Watch Adrián Kaprálik's goal video (50')
- 56' Goal: Piet Scobel (assist: Adam Markhiev) — 2–2 · Watch Piet Scobel's goal video (56')
Starting line-ups
Holstein Kiel (4-5-1)
- 1 Timon Weiner
- 47 John Tolkin
- 26 David Zec
- 13 Ivan Nekić
- 32 Hiroki Sekine
- 10 Jonas Therkelsen
- 15 Kasper Davidsen
- 28 Jonas Meffert (c)
- 8 Guillermo Balzi
- 20 Adrián Kaprálik
- 19 Phil Harres
1. FC Nürnberg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Holstein Kiel 39%, the draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 33%. It finished Holstein Kiel 2–2 1. FC Nürnberg.
Home ground outweighs 1. FC Nürnberg's rating edge — 1. FC Nürnberg are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus 1. FC Nürnberg's hot finishing due to cool give Holstein Kiel the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Holstein Kiel at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. 1. FC Nürnberg sit 51 points higher on our strength rating — 1533 to 1583. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,581 such games. 1. FC Nürnberg scored +0.65 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.0% of 1,473 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 39%?
Because 1. FC Nürnberg are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Holstein Kiel's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,965. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The cool-off factor takes 1.9 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Nürnberg come into this after a busy window — 26 arrivals and 32 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last five: Holstein Kiel L-D-D-W-L, 1. FC Nürnberg D-W-W-D-W — 1. FC Nürnberg are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 9 in all competitions (5 wins, 4 draws), a run going back to April 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2200 games when clearly hotter and 42.8% of 4019 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Adam Markhiev's goal against Holstein Kiel (41').
- Watch Phil Harres's goal against 1. FC Nürnberg (45+1').
- Watch Adrián Kaprálik's goal against 1. FC Nürnberg (50').
- Watch Piet Scobel's goal against Holstein Kiel (56').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Holstein Kiel 2–2 1. FC Nürnberg. Explore more on the Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.