1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 38′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 46′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 50′Holstein Kiel, second yellow card:Foul
- 57′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 75′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 76′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 76′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 81′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 81′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 83′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 83′1. FC Heidenheim, goal:1–0assist
- 86′1. FC Heidenheim, yellow card:Not retreating
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel
Match report
Föhrenbach's late strike sinks 10-man Holstein Kiel
1. FC Heidenheim edged Holstein Kiel 1-0 in a 2. Bundesliga round five fixture at the Voith-Arena, a result that lifted the hosts into third while Kiel remain stuck in 18th. The contest stayed goalless through a tense first half before an early second-half sending-off tilted the balance decisively in Heidenheim's favour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jonas Therkelsen was shown a red card for Kiel in the 50th minute, leaving the visitors to see out the remainder of the match a man short. Heidenheim pressed the advantage but were made to wait until the 83rd minute for a breakthrough, when Jonas Föhrenbach converted an assist from Mikkel Kaufmann to make it 1-0, a lead the hosts held to the final whistle.
Heidenheim's control was reflected across the game, with 51% possession, 19 shots to Kiel's 13, and four efforts on target against two. The hosts also won the corner count on the balance of a match dominated after Therkelsen's dismissal reshaped the contest in their favour.
Föhrenbach struck the decisive goal in the 83rd minute and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.42, capping a display in which he proved the difference for Heidenheim.
Kiel's red card, the only dismissal of the match, left them a man light for over half an hour and shaped the pattern of play thereafter.
1. FC Heidenheim beat Holstein Kiel 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
1. FC Heidenheim met Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC at Voith-Arena. Referee: J. Hasmann.
Team pages: 1. FC Heidenheim · Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 50' Red card: Jonas Therkelsen
- 83' Goal: Jonas Föhrenbach (assist: Mikkel Kaufmann) — 1–0 · Watch Jonas Föhrenbach's goal video (83')
Starting line-ups
1. FC Heidenheim (4-4-1-1)
Holstein Kiel (4-1-4-1)
- 1 Timon Weiner
- 40 Leon Parduzi
- 26 David Zec
- 13 Ivan Nekić
- 32 Hiroki Sekine
- 28 Jonas Meffert (c)
- 10 Jonas Therkelsen
- 27 I. Ugoh
- 8 Guillermo Balzi
- 20 Adrián Kaprálik
- 19 Phil Harres
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1. FC Heidenheim 47%, the draw 27%, Holstein Kiel 26%. It finished 1. FC Heidenheim 1–0 Holstein Kiel.
1. FC Heidenheim's rating edge, but the draw is in play — 1. FC Heidenheim are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of 1. FC Heidenheim's 47%. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why 1. FC Heidenheim at 47%?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 86 points higher on our strength rating — 1619 to 1533. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,462 such games.
Why only 47%?
Holstein Kiel hold 9 more possession points (55 to 46 in recent games) across a 86-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,683 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims 1. FC Heidenheim's column. Across 11,115 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.6% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Holstein Kiel win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,203. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Heidenheim have won the last 5 home meetings with Holstein Kiel. Streaks like this look decisive, but sides on a 3+ home run in a fixture won 58.8% of 4,911 such games vs 58.4% class-expected — the strength that built the streak is already in the rating.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from 1. FC Heidenheim 1–0 Holstein Kiel. Explore more on the 1. FC Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.