Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 7′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Foul
- 15′Energie Cottbus, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 18′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Simulation
- 45′Energie Cottbus, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 46′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 55′Energie Cottbus, goal:0–2assist
- 61′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 62′Energie Cottbus, goal:0–3
- 64′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 65′Karlsruher SC, yellow card:Foul
- 67′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 73′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 73′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 81′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 82′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 85′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 3
Lineups
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Karlsruher SC
Energie Cottbus
Match report
Cottbus stun Karlsruher SC with three unanswered goals
Energie Cottbus claimed a 3-0 victory away at Karlsruher SC in matchday five of the 2. Bundesliga, ending the home side's unbeaten home form this season and moving the visitors up the table at the BBBank Wildpark.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lukas Michelbrink broke the deadlock deep into first-half stoppage time, converting an assist from Lucas Copado to put Cottbus ahead 1-0 at the interval. The visitors then took control after the break, with Dominik Pelivan doubling the lead on 55 minutes from a Tolcay Ciğerci assist, before Justin Butler struck again seven minutes later to make it 3-0.
Despite Karlsruher SC holding the majority of possession at 57 percent and producing more shots overall with 20 to Cottbus's 25, it was the visitors who were far more clinical, landing ten shots on target compared to the hosts' five. The result lifted Cottbus to seventh in the standings on seven points, while Karlsruher SC remained twelfth with five.
Michelbrink opened the scoring with a stoppage-time finish and was rated the top performer on the pitch with an 8.2 mark, while Butler and Pelivan also found the net to round out a dominant away display.
Cottbus were markedly more accurate in front of goal, converting ten shots on target from their 25 attempts compared to Karlsruher SC's five from 20.
Energie Cottbus won 3–0 away against Karlsruher SC (half-time 0–1).
Karlsruher SC met Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC at BBBank Wildpark. Referee: Robert Hartmann.
Team pages: Karlsruher SC · Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 45' Goal: Lukas Michelbrink (assist: Lucas Copado) — 0–1 · Watch Lukas Michelbrink's goal video (45')
- 55' Goal: Dominik Pelivan (assist: Tolcay Ciğerci) — 0–2 · Watch Dominik Pelivan's goal video (55')
- 62' Goal: Justin Butler — 0–3 · Watch Justin Butler's goal video (62')
Starting line-ups
Karlsruher SC (4-4-2)
Energie Cottbus (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Karlsruher SC 46%, the draw 26%, Energie Cottbus 28%. It finished Karlsruher SC 0–3 Energie Cottbus.
Level sides, Karlsruher SC's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Karlsruher SC's control of the ball gives Karlsruher SC the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Karlsruher SC in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1517 to 1521. Sides this close won 43.1% of 15,985 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%). Karlsruher SC hold 8 more possession points (53 to 45 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,217 games, vs 43.9% when styles were level.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Karlsruher SC's column. Across 11,115 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.6% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,203. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Karlsruher SC come into this after a busy window — 11 arrivals and 13 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Energie Cottbus are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Lukas Michelbrink's goal against Karlsruher SC (45').
- Watch Dominik Pelivan's goal against Karlsruher SC (55').
- Watch Justin Butler's goal against Karlsruher SC (62').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Karlsruher SC 0–3 Energie Cottbus. Explore more on the Karlsruher SC and Energie Cottbus team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.

