Eintracht Braunschweig vs 09.10.26 16:301 – 0Full TimeHolstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis

Match report

Urbich's early goal gives Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 win over Holstein Kiel

Eintracht Braunschweig beat Holstein Kiel 1-0 at the Eintracht-Stadion in a 2. Bundesliga Matchday 7 fixture, ending a run of four defeats in their previous five league outings. The decisive moment arrived early, and the hosts then held on to the lead for the remainder of the afternoon.

AI-assisted match report written from official match data.

Jan Urbich scored in the 11th minute, finishing from a Fabio Di Michele Sanchez assist to make it 1-0. That was the only goal of the match, and the score remained unchanged at half-time and full-time.

Holstein Kiel dominated the ball, finishing with 65 per cent possession to Braunschweig's 35, and edged the shot count by 11 to 10. Yet none of their efforts hit the target, while Braunschweig managed three on target. Neither side saw a red card, with four yellows shown to the hosts and three to the visitors.

The result lifted Braunschweig to seven points from seven matches, eighth in the table. Kiel, managed by T. Walter, stayed sixteenth on four points.

Jan Urbich scored the only goal of the match and was rated highest of all players at 7.74. Isidoros Koutsidis (7.22) and Lukas Frenkert (7.05) followed him among Braunschweig's top performers.

Holstein Kiel had 65 per cent of possession but failed to register a single shot on target.

Eintracht Braunschweig beat Holstein Kiel 1–0 (half-time 1–0).

Eintracht Braunschweig met Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 9 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Eintracht-Stadion. Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach.

Team pages: Eintracht Braunschweig · Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga

Key moments

11' Goal: Jan Urbich (assist: Fabio Di Michele Sanchez) — 1–0 · Watch Jan Urbich's goal video (11')

Starting line-ups

Eintracht Braunschweig (4-2-3-1)

Holstein Kiel (4-1-4-1)

Sirius · Why these numbers

Before kick-off Sirius gave Eintracht Braunschweig 31%, the draw 26%, Holstein Kiel 43%. It finished Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Holstein Kiel.

Holstein Kiel's rating edge outweighs Eintracht Braunschweig's home ground — Holstein Kiel are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Holstein Kiel the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.

Why Holstein Kiel at 43%?

Holstein Kiel sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1324 to 1411. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,807 such games. Holstein Kiel hold 10 more possession points (56 to 46 in recent games) across a 87-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,607 such games where the class table expected 40.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–22–41.

Why only 43%?

No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Eintracht Braunschweig at 31%.

Why the draw at 26%?

With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,841. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.

What did we measure but not count?

Holstein Kiel won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Eintracht Braunschweig. The record is 4 wins for Holstein Kiel, 1 draw and 1 win for Eintracht Braunschweig. These were 6 2. Bundesliga games played at both grounds between 13 August 2022 and 2 May 2026. Latest meeting: 2 May 2026 — Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig. In 5,634 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%.

Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab

About this match

On this page: the Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Watch Jan Urbich's goal against Holstein Kiel (11').

Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Holstein Kiel. Explore more on the Eintracht Braunschweig and Holstein Kiel team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.