Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 6′Dynamo Dresden, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 9′Dynamo Dresden, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- Half-time1 – 0
- 50′Dynamo Dresden, goal:2–0
- 55′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 55′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 72′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 77′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 80′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 81′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 85′Dynamo Dresden, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 87′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 87′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 87′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Magdeburg
Match report
Dynamo Dresden end winless run with 2-0 victory over Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden beat 1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 at the Rudolf-Harbig Stadion in a 2. Bundesliga Matchday 8 fixture, ending a run of five games without a win. The result lifted the hosts from 17th to 12th, on eight points from eight games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came early. Niklas Hauptmann converted a penalty in the ninth minute to make it 1-0, and Dresden took that advantage into the interval. Magdeburg, who arrived sixth in the table, found no way back before the break despite seeing more of the ball.
Five minutes into the second half, Simon Straudi doubled the lead in the 50th minute. Dresden then kept their opponents scoreless, restricting Magdeburg to four shots on target from 14 attempts, while the hosts had six on target from their 12 efforts.
Magdeburg stayed sixth on 13 points, five clear of Dresden after the result. Dresden travel to Holstein Kiel on Sunday in the 2. Bundesliga, while Magdeburg host Karlsruher SC on Saturday in the same competition.
Simon Straudi scored Dresden's second goal and earned the match's highest rating, 8.03. Jonas Sterner (7.78) and goalkeeper Lennart Grill (7.37) followed him in the home side's top performers.
Magdeburg held 60% of possession to Dresden's 40%, yet finished without a goal.
Dynamo Dresden beat 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Dynamo Dresden met 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion. Referee: Robin Braun.
Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 9' Goal (penalty): Niklas Hauptmann — 1–0 · Watch Niklas Hauptmann's goal video (9')
- 50' Goal: Simon Straudi — 2–0 · Watch Simon Straudi's goal video (50')
Starting line-ups
Dynamo Dresden (4-2-3-1)
1. FC Magdeburg (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dynamo Dresden 34%, the draw 25%, 1. FC Magdeburg 41%. It finished Dynamo Dresden 2–0 1. FC Magdeburg.
Magdeburg's stronger rating edges a close derby — 1. FC Magdeburg sit 86 points higher on our strength rating, 1473 to 1387, which puts them slightly in front at 41% even though Dynamo Dresden get the usual home advantage. The draw starts at 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, but drops to 25% because both teams' own recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why 1. FC Magdeburg at 41%?
1. FC Magdeburg sit 86 points higher on our strength rating — 1473 to 1387. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,861 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 39–28–33.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Dynamo Dresden at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Magdeburg scored +0.62 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,855 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. 1. FC Magdeburg come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 13 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Niklas Hauptmann's goal against 1. FC Magdeburg (9').
- Watch Simon Straudi's goal against 1. FC Magdeburg (50').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dynamo Dresden 2–0 1. FC Magdeburg. Explore more on the Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.

