Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 2′VfL Osnabrück, yellow card:Foul
- 16′VfL Osnabrück, goal:0–1
- 26′Arminia Bielefeld, goal:1–1assist
- 38′Arminia Bielefeld, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 59′Arminia Bielefeld, substitution:off
- 59′Arminia Bielefeld, substitution:off
- 68′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 81′Arminia Bielefeld, substitution:off
- 81′Arminia Bielefeld, substitution:off
- 83′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 85′Arminia Bielefeld, goal:2–1assist
- 86′Arminia Bielefeld, yellow card:Foul
- 88′Arminia Bielefeld, substitution:off
- 89′Arminia Bielefeld, yellow card:Foul
- 89′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 89′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 89′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Osnabrück
Match report
Rochelt strikes late as Arminia Bielefeld beat VfL Osnabrück 2-1
Arminia Bielefeld came from behind to beat VfL Osnabrück 2-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on matchday 8 at the Schüco-Arena. Jannik Rochelt scored the winner five minutes from time, completing a turnaround after the visitors had led from the 16th minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Robin Meißner gave Osnabrück the lead with the opening goal of the afternoon, putting the away side 1-0 up. Bielefeld responded within ten minutes, Maximilian Bauer equalising in the 26th minute from Arne Sicker's assist, and the sides went into the interval level at 1-1.
The second half stayed tight until the 85th minute, when Thaddäus-Monju Momuluh set up Rochelt to make it 2-1. Bielefeld had 15 shots to Osnabrück's 8 and won six corners to none, though only three of their efforts tested the goalkeeper, against one from the visitors.
The result lifted Bielefeld from tenth to eighth in the table, on 11 points, while Osnabrück stayed 11th on 8. Bielefeld travel to Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October, and Osnabrück host SpVgg Greuther Fürth the following day.
Jannik Rochelt scored the 85th-minute winner and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.03. Maximilian Bauer, who scored the equaliser, followed on 7.94.
Bielefeld won six corners to none, the clearest sign of their territorial pressure in a match where possession was almost even.
Arminia Bielefeld beat VfL Osnabrück 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Arminia Bielefeld met VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at Schüco-Arena. Referee: Michael Bacher.
Team pages: Arminia Bielefeld · VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Robin Meißner — 0–1
- 26' Goal: Maximilian Bauer (assist: Arne Sicker) — 1–1
- 85' Goal: Jannik Rochelt (assist: Thaddäus-Monju Momuluh) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Arminia Bielefeld (4-1-4-1)
VfL Osnabrück (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Arminia Bielefeld 58%, the draw 23%, VfL Osnabrück 19%. It finished Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück.
Strength rating puts Arminia Bielefeld clearly ahead — We give Arminia Bielefeld 58%, mainly because they sit 122 points higher on our strength rating, 1416 to 1294, with the usual home advantage adding to it. The draw starts near 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 23% because both teams' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Arminia Bielefeld at 58%?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 122 points higher on our strength rating — 1416 to 1294. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,368 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 55–25–20.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and VfL Osnabrück at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Arminia Bielefeld are unbeaten in their last 8 home 2. Bundesliga games: 3 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 14 March 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 28 February 2026 — Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 Hannover 96. Latest home league result: 20 September 2026 — Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim. Across 13,735 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. VfL Osnabrück are newly promoted — game 8 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.