Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 33′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 34′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 45+1′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 56′Energie Cottbus, goal:1–0assist
- 61′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Argument
- 65′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 65′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 65′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 66′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 68′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Foul
- 79′1. FC Nürnberg, goal:1–1assist
- 80′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 80′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 82′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 90+1′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Energie Cottbus
1. FC Nürnberg
Match report
Energie Cottbus held by 1. FC Nürnberg after late equaliser
Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 1-1 at Stadion der Freundschaft on Matchday 8 of the 2. Bundesliga. The result left Nürnberg second in the table on 18 points, nine clear of eighth-placed Cottbus, who moved to 9 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless at half-time. Cottbus broke the deadlock in the 56th minute when Justin Butler scored from a Leonardo Bittencourt assist, the home side's only real reward despite having less of the ball, with 38 per cent possession to Nürnberg's 62.
Nürnberg pressed for an equaliser and found it in the 79th minute, Styopa Mkrtchyan finishing after Eric Porstner's assist. The visitors had 19 shots to 14 and won eight corners to two, but five efforts on target apiece left the sides level at the end. Nürnberg are now unbeaten in 14 games.
Both sides are in action again on Saturday 24 October in the 2. Bundesliga: Cottbus travel to 1. FC Heidenheim, while Nürnberg host 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Styopa Mkrtchyan took the top rating in the match, 8.03, for his 79th-minute goal that rescued a point for Nürnberg. Leonardo Bittencourt followed on 7.7 after creating Cottbus's opener for Butler.
Nürnberg won eight corners to Cottbus's two, reflecting their sustained pressure in the opposition half.
Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Energie Cottbus met 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Friday, 16 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Stadion der Freundschaft. Referee: Felix Bickel.
Team pages: Energie Cottbus · 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 56' Goal: Justin Butler (assist: Leonardo Bittencourt) — 1–0 · Watch Justin Butler's goal video (56')
- 79' Goal: Styopa Mkrtchyan (assist: Eric Porstner) — 1–1 · Watch Styopa Mkrtchyan's goal video (79')
Starting line-ups
Energie Cottbus (4-2-3-1)
1. FC Nürnberg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Energie Cottbus 34%, the draw 25%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%. It finished Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
Nürnberg's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — 1. FC Nürnberg sit 107 points higher on our strength rating, 1502 to 1394, which puts them narrowly in front at 41%, while the usual home advantage keeps Energie Cottbus close at 34%. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 25% because both sides' recent games average 3.9 goals.
Why 1. FC Nürnberg at 41%?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1502 to 1394. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,843 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–28–40.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Energie Cottbus at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.9 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,931. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Energie Cottbus scored +0.34 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,840 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. 1. FC Nürnberg scored +1.07 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Justin Butler's goal against 1. FC Nürnberg (56').
- Watch Styopa Mkrtchyan's goal against Energie Cottbus (79').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Explore more on the Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.