Başakşehir vs 30.08.26 18:301 – 1Full Time
Kasımpaşa — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 3′Başakşehir, yellow card:Foul
- 13′Başakşehir, yellow card:Foul
- 18′Başakşehir, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Başakşehir, substitution:off
- 46′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 46′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 55′Kasımpaşa, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Başakşehir, substitution:off
- 71′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 73′Başakşehir, substitution:off
- 74′Başakşehir, substitution:off
- 81′Kasımpaşa, goal:1–1assist
- 87′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 90′Başakşehir, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Match report
Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa share the points in Süper Lig draw
Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa played out a 1-1 draw in Süper Lig Regular Season - 3 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Eldor Shomurodov put the hosts ahead in the 18th minute, assisted by Umut Bozok, and that scoreline held through half-time before Kasımpaşa found a leveller in the second period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Fousseni Diabaté equalised for the visitors in the 81st minute, converting an assist from Adrian Benedyczak to make it 1-1, and neither side found a further breakthrough as the match ended level. The result left Başakşehir seventh on the table with four points from three games, while Kasımpaşa sit sixth with five points from the same number of matches.
Başakşehir dominated territory with 65 percent possession but managed only two shots on target from twelve attempts, whereas Kasımpaşa were more clinical in front of goal despite seeing far less of the ball, registering three shots on target from an equal number of twelve efforts overall. Halil Umut Meler took charge of the contest.
Umut Güneş was Başakşehir's top-rated performer on the day, finishing with a rating of 7.7 without registering a goal or assist.
Başakşehir's 65 percent share of possession stood in contrast to Kasımpaşa's higher tally of shots on target, underlining how territory did not translate into cutting edge for the hosts.
Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Başakşehir met Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Referee: Halil Umut Meler.
Team pages: Başakşehir · Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Eldor Shomurodov (assist: Umut Bozok) — 1–0 · Watch Eldor Shomurodov's goal video (18')
- 81' Goal: Fousseni Diabaté (assist: Adrian Benedyczak) — 1–1 · Watch Fousseni Diabaté's goal video (81')
Starting line-ups
Başakşehir (4-2-3-1)
Kasımpaşa (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Başakşehir 54%, the draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 20%. It finished Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa.
A slight rating edge to Başakşehir, little else — Başakşehir are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus Kasımpaşa's hot finishing due to cool on top give Başakşehir the lean. The draw at 26% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Başakşehir at 54%?
Başakşehir sit 73 points higher on our strength rating — 1684 to 1612. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,398 such games. Başakşehir hold 12 more possession points (53 to 41 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,191 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Kasımpaşa scored +0.46 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.0% of 1,465 games, vs 29.0% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 54%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Başakşehir's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,926. The cool-off factor takes 2.0 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Kasımpaşa have gained 100 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,267 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Kasımpaşa are winless in their last 11 visits to Başakşehir. "Cursed ground" stories don't survive the receipts: winless visitors won 20.4% of 5,648 return visits vs 21.4% class-expected — the rating's own read already covers it.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Eldor Shomurodov's goal against Kasımpaşa (18').
- Watch Fousseni Diabaté's goal against Başakşehir (81').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa. Explore more on the Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa team pages or the Süper Lig page.