Samsunspor vs 30.08.26 18:300 – 2Full Time
Fenerbahçe — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 3′Fenerbahçe, goal:0–1assist
- 16′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 25′Samsunspor, yellow card:T. Fink
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 49′Fenerbahçe, goal:0–2assist
- 63′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 64′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 66′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 70′Fenerbahçe, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 86′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 86′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 86′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 86′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 2
Lineups
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Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Match report
Fenerbahçe cruise past Samsunspor with early strike and second-half sting
Fenerbahçe secured a 2-0 away victory over Samsunspor in matchday three of the Süper Lig, moving to third in the table while their hosts remained in the lower half of the standings. The result was built on a fast start and a decisive second-half blow that left Samsunspor with little response.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Vedat Muriqi opened the scoring inside three minutes, converting from an Oğuz Aydın assist to give the visitors an early cushion. Samsunspor went into the break trailing 0-1 despite holding 58 per cent of possession, unable to translate territory into clear openings. Five minutes into the second half, Aydın turned scorer himself, finishing off a pass from İrfan Kahveci to make it 0-2 and put the contest beyond real doubt.
Fenerbahçe controlled the game's most telling numbers despite seeing less of the ball, registering 15 shots to Samsunspor's six and forcing seven efforts on target compared to none for the hosts. Yasin Kol booked one player during a match in which fouls were fairly even, but the story of the afternoon was written by Fenerbahçe's clinical edge rather than any disciplinary drama.
Oğuz Aydın scored one and set up Muriqi's opener, earning the highest rating on the pitch at 8.9 for a display that shaped both goals.
Fenerbahçe's 1.56 expected goals to Samsunspor's 0.46 underlined how much more clinical and threatening the visitors were in front of goal.
Fenerbahçe won 2–0 away against Samsunspor (half-time 0–1).
Samsunspor met Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Referee: Yasin Kol.
Team pages: Samsunspor · Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Vedat Muriqi (assist: Oğuz Aydın) — 0–1 · Watch Vedat Muriqi's goal video (3')
- 49' Goal: Oğuz Aydın (assist: İrfan Can Kahveci) — 0–2 · Watch Oğuz Aydın's goal video (49')
Starting line-ups
Samsunspor (4-2-3-1)
Fenerbahçe (4-2-3-1)
- 31 Ederson
- 3 Archie Brown
- 15 Nathan Aké
- 37 Milan Škriniar (c)
- 27 Nélson Semedo
- 91 N'Golo Kanté
- 6 Mattéo Guendouzi
- 70 Oğuz Aydın
- 17 İrfan Can Kahveci
- 11 Mason Greenwood
- 19 Vedat Muriqi
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Samsunspor 23%, the draw 24%, Fenerbahçe 53%. It finished Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahçe.
Fenerbahçe's rating gap outweighs Samsunspor's home ground — Fenerbahçe are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Fenerbahçe the lean. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Fenerbahçe at 53%?
Fenerbahçe sit 240 points higher on our strength rating — 1708 to 1948. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,053 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Samsunspor's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 25–20–55.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Samsunspor at 23%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,046. The goals environment takes 2.0 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Samsunspor scored +0.79 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,810 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Fenerbahçe are missing 2 regular starters — Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Marco Asensio — about 27% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahçe. Explore more on the Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe team pages or the Süper Lig page.