Kocaelispor vs 18.10.26 13:001 – 2Full Time
Göztepe — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsbeIN SPORTS TürkiyeYouTubeMatch Events
- 24′Göztepe, own goal:0–1Own goal
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 46′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 56′Kocaelispor, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 74′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 76′Göztepe, yellow card:Argument
- 77′Göztepe, goal:0–2assist
- 78′Göztepe, yellow card:
- 82′Kocaelispor, penalty goal:1–2Penalty
- 83′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 83′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 85′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 88′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 90+2′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 90+2′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 90+3′Kocaelispor, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 2
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Kocaelispor
Göztepe
Match report
Göztepe come from behind in the table to beat Kocaelispor 2-1
Göztepe won 2-1 away to Kocaelispor on matchday 8 of the Süper Lig at the Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, despite having 39% of the possession. Kocaelispor held 61% and had 9 shots to 7, but only one of those efforts hit the target, against three for the visitors.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 24th minute, when Show turned the ball into his own net to put Göztepe 1-0 ahead, the score at half-time. The visitors held that lead into the second half, and Kocaelispor created little of note against a side that committed 20 fouls to their 12.
Göztepe doubled their lead in the 77th minute, Novatus Dismas finishing from a Juan assist. Kocaelispor were handed a way back in the 82nd minute, when Berkan Kutlu scored from the penalty spot to make it 2-1, but they could not find an equaliser.
The result lifted Göztepe from 15th to 12th, on nine points, while Kocaelispor stayed eighth on 12 points. Kocaelispor travel to Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig on Friday, and Göztepe host Çorum FK in the same competition on Sunday.
Emir Ortakaya earned the joint-highest rating of 7.3 for Kocaelispor, level with Göztepe's Arda Özçimen, though neither registered a goal or an assist.
Kocaelispor had 61% of the possession yet managed only one shot on target, compared with three for Göztepe.
Göztepe won 2–1 away against Kocaelispor (half-time 0–1).
Kocaelispor met Göztepe in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu. Referee: Alper Akarsu.
Team pages: Kocaelispor · Göztepe · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 24' Goal (own goal): Show — 0–1
- 77' Goal: Novatus Miroshi (assist: Juan) — 0–2
- 82' Goal (penalty): Berkan Kutlu — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Kocaelispor (4-3-3)
Göztepe (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kocaelispor 36%, the draw 30%, Göztepe 34%. It finished Kocaelispor 1–2 Göztepe.
Home advantage edges Kocaelispor past a stronger Göztepe — Göztepe sit 61 points higher on our strength rating, but Kocaelispor's usual home advantage, helped by their habit of controlling the ball, gives them a slight lean at 36% to 34%. The draw sits at 30%, close to the usual 29.2% for a gap this size, nudged up slightly by Göztepe's finishing streak.
Why Kocaelispor at 36%?
Home ground, against the rating. Göztepe sit 61 points higher on our strength rating — 1553 to 1492. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,409 such games. Kocaelispor hold 9 more possession points (49 to 40 in recent games) across a 61-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,647 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why only 36%?
Because Göztepe are the stronger side on our strength rating. Göztepe sit -0.31 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.6% of 1,382 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,238.
What did we measure but not count?
Kocaelispor come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 11 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Out: Massadio Haïdara, an important player, and Tanguy Zoukrou, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kocaelispor vs Göztepe final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kocaelispor 1–2 Göztepe. Explore more on the Kocaelispor and Göztepe team pages or the Süper Lig page.