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play_arrow4 clips- 6′Kasımpaşa, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 28′Beşiktaş, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Beşiktaş, substitution:off
- 47′Beşiktaş, goal:0–2assist
- 60′Kasımpaşa, goal:1–2assist
- 63′Beşiktaş, substitution:off
- 66′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 76′Beşiktaş, substitution:off
- 79′Kasımpaşa, yellow card:Foul
- 83′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 83′Beşiktaş, substitution:off
- 83′Beşiktaş, substitution:off
- 86′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 86′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 87′Kasımpaşa, goal:2–2assist
- 90+5′Beşiktaş, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 2
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Kasımpaşa
Beşiktaş
Match report
Kasımpaşa come from two down to draw 2-2 with Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa recovered from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Beşiktaş in a Süper Lig Matchday 10 fixture, a late equaliser from Marcus Rafferty denying the visitors a win that would have lifted them further up the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Beşiktaş took the lead in the 28th minute when Leandro Trossard finished from Rıdvan Yılmaz's assist, and they went into the break 1-0 up. Within two minutes of the restart, in the 47th, Dušan Vlahović doubled the advantage from Amir Murillo's pass.
Kasımpaşa pulled one back in the 60th minute through Cláudio Winck, set up by Haris Hajradinović, and drew level three minutes from time when Rafferty scored from Kerem Demirbay's assist. The hosts had 16 shots to 8, even though Beşiktaş held 58% of the possession.
The point left Beşiktaş fourth on 19 points, with Kasımpaşa fifth on 17 after starting the day seventh. Beşiktaş travel to Celtic in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, while Kasımpaşa visit Gaziantep FK in the Süper Lig on Friday.
Leandro Trossard opened the scoring in the 28th minute and was the match's highest-rated player at 8.6. Dušan Vlahović added the second early in the half.
Kasımpaşa managed 16 shots to Beşiktaş's 8, even though they had only 42% of the possession.
Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş drew 2–2 (half-time 0–1).
Kasımpaşa met Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 16:00 UTC at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Referee: R. Coskunses.
Key moments
- 28' Goal: Leandro Trossard (assist: Rıdvan Yılmaz) — 0–1 · Watch Leandro Trossard's goal video (28')
- 47' Goal: Dušan Vlahović (assist: Amir Murillo) — 0–2 · Watch Dušan Vlahović's goal video (47')
- 60' Goal: Cláudio Winck (assist: Haris Hajradinović) — 1–2 · Watch Cláudio Winck's goal video (60')
- 87' Goal: Marcus Rafferty (assist: Kerem Demirbay) — 2–2 · Watch Marcus Rafferty's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Kasımpaşa (4-1-4-1)
Beşiktaş (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kasımpaşa 25%, the draw 23%, Beşiktaş 52%. It finished Kasımpaşa 2–2 Beşiktaş.
Beşiktaş's strength edge gives them a slight lean — Beşiktaş sit 179 points higher on our strength rating, 1713 to 1534, which is enough for us to give them 52% even with Kasımpaşa enjoying the usual home advantage. The draw starts at the usual 25% for a gap this size and drops to 23% because both sides' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Beşiktaş at 52%?
Beşiktaş sit 179 points higher on our strength rating — 1713 to 1534. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,209 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–25–49.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Kasımpaşa at 25%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,539. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Beşiktaş have averaged 17 percentage points more possession than Kasımpaşa in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Kasımpaşa scored +0.32 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,210 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Leandro Trossard's goal against Kasımpaşa (28').
- Watch Dušan Vlahović's goal against Kasımpaşa (47').
- Watch Cláudio Winck's goal against Beşiktaş (60').
- Watch Marcus Rafferty's goal against Beşiktaş (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kasımpaşa 2–2 Beşiktaş. Explore more on the Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş team pages or the Süper Lig page.