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- 3′Fenerbahçe, yellow card:Foul
- 39′Göztepe, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 42′Fenerbahçe, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Fenerbahçe, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 47′Göztepe, yellow card:Foul
- 65′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 65′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 74′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 74′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 76′Göztepe, goal:1–1
- 78′Göztepe, goal:1–2assist
- 83′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 83′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 84′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 89′Göztepe, yellow card:Time wasting
- 90+2′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 90+2′Göztepe, substitution:off
- 90+4′Göztepe, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
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Fenerbahçe
Göztepe
Match report
Göztepe stun Fenerbahçe with late double to win 2-1
Göztepe came from behind to beat Fenerbahçe 2-1 in the Süper Lig on matchday 10, scoring twice in three minutes midway through the second half. Fenerbahçe had led through Mattéo Guendouzi's goal in first-half stoppage time and held that lead until the 76th minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Guendouzi struck in the 45+1 minute, finishing a chance set up by Romelu Lukaku to send the hosts in 1-0 up at the break. Fenerbahçe had dominated possession, with 66 per cent of the ball, and fashioned 15 shots to 12, yet their advantage was only a single goal.
Sinclair Armstrong levelled in the 76th minute, and two minutes later André Henrique put Göztepe in front, with Tino Anjorin providing the assist. Fenerbahçe could not respond. The result left Göztepe ninth on 15 points, one behind fifth-placed Fenerbahçe, and extended their winning run to four games.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Göztepe a 14% chance of winning. Fenerbahçe next host Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November, while Göztepe entertain Başakşehir in the Süper Lig on Saturday 7 November.
Arda Kurtulan was the top-rated performer on the pitch with 8.2, the highest mark of any player in the match, and was among the Göztepe players whose work held firm after the interval.
Göztepe won the corner count 7 to 4 despite having only 34 per cent of possession.
Göztepe won 2–1 away against Fenerbahçe (half-time 1–0).
Fenerbahçe met Göztepe in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. Referee: Oguzhan Cakir.
Team pages: Fenerbahçe · Göztepe · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 45' Goal: Mattéo Guendouzi (assist: Romelu Lukaku) — 1–0
- 76' Goal: Sinclair Armstrong — 1–1
- 78' Goal: André Henrique (assist: Tino Anjorin) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Fenerbahçe (4-2-3-1)
Göztepe (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fenerbahçe 68%, the draw 18%, Göztepe 14%. It finished Fenerbahçe 1–2 Göztepe.
Fenerbahçe's strength edge drives a clear lead — We give Fenerbahçe 68% mainly because our strength rating puts them 166 points higher, 1746 to 1580, with the usual home advantage adding to it. The draw sits at 18%, just under the usual rate of about 20% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 3.6 goals.
Why Fenerbahçe at 68%?
Fenerbahçe sit 166 points higher on our strength rating — 1746 to 1580. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–17–15.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Göztepe at 14%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Fenerbahçe have averaged 11 percentage points more possession than Göztepe in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Fenerbahçe scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,194 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fenerbahçe 1–2 Göztepe. Explore more on the Fenerbahçe and Göztepe team pages or the Süper Lig page.