HNK Rijeka vs Derry City — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 7′HNK Rijeka, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 52′HNK Rijeka, goal:1–0assist
- 59′HNK Rijeka, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Derry City, substitution:J. Clarkeoff
- 62′Derry City, substitution:off
- 62′Derry City, substitution:offJ. Stott
- 70′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 75′Derry City, substitution:off
- 80′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 80′Derry City, substitution:off
- 90+1′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Match report
HNK Rijeka vs Derry City — the facts
HNK Rijeka beat Derry City 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
HNK Rijeka met Derry City in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Referee: J. Munuera.
Team pages: HNK Rijeka · Derry City · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Toni Fruk (assist: Branko Pavić) — 1–0 · Watch Toni Fruk's goal video (52')
Starting line-ups
HNK Rijeka (4-2-3-1)
Derry City (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave HNK Rijeka 73%, the draw 19%, Derry City 8%. It finished HNK Rijeka 1–0 Derry City.
HNK Rijeka's rating gap decides it — HNK Rijeka are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of HNK Rijeka's 73%. The draw at 19% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why HNK Rijeka at 73%?
HNK Rijeka sit 381 points higher on our strength rating — 1615 to 1234. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,015 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 73–18–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 73% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Derry City at 8%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,012. The goals environment adds 2.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
HNK Rijeka have gained 60 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,979 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Derry City have 21 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the HNK Rijeka vs Derry City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from HNK Rijeka 1–0 Derry City. Explore more on the HNK Rijeka and Derry City team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.