Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow6 clips- 3′Shelbourne, goal:1–0assist
- 7′Kalju Nomme, yellow card:Foul
- 21′Shelbourne, goal:2–0assist
- 25′Shelbourne, goal:3–0assistR. Freitas
- 30′Kalju Nomme, substitution:off
- 40′Kalju Nomme, goal:3–1assist
- Half-time3 – 1
- 47′Shelbourne, goal:4–1assist
- 58′Kalju Nomme, substitution:A. Borolinstsikovoff
- 59′Kalju Nomme, substitution:off
- 66′Shelbourne, substitution:K. McInroyoff
- 75′Shelbourne, substitution:off
- 77′Kalju Nomme, substitution:D. SotsugovoffB. Vastsuk
- 81′Shelbourne, substitution:off
- 81′Shelbourne, substitution:offR. Freitas
- 81′Shelbourne, substitution:off
- 89′Shelbourne, goal:5–1
- 90′Kalju Nomme, goal:5–2assist
- Full-time5 – 2
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Shelbourne
4-4-2
Kalju Nomme
4-4-2
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
1 assistVideos
Match report
Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme — the facts
Shelbourne beat Kalju Nomme 5–2 (half-time 3–1).
Shelbourne met Kalju Nomme in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 18:45 UTC at Tolka Park. Referee: K. Szabolcs.
Team pages: Shelbourne · Kalju Nomme · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 3' Goal: R. Freitas (assist: Sean Moore) — 1–0 · Watch R. Freitas's goal video (3')
- 21' Goal: Sean Moore (assist: Evan Caffrey) — 2–0 · Watch Sean Moore's goal video (21')
- 25' Goal: Ali Coote (assist: R. Freitas) — 3–0
- 40' Goal: Enrique Lotar (assist: Nikita Ivanov) — 3–1 · Watch Enrique Lotar's goal video (40')
- 47' Goal: Sean Moore (assist: Daniel Kelly) — 4–1 · Watch Sean Moore's goal video (47')
- 89' Goal: Daniel Ring — 5–1 · Watch Daniel Ring's goal video (89')
- 90' Goal: Enrique Lotar (assist: Rommi Siht) — 5–2 · Watch Enrique Lotar's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Shelbourne (4-4-2)
Kalju Nomme (4-4-2)
- 1 Henri Perk
- 22 Aleksandr Nikolajev
- 46 Roko Vukušić
- 50 Maksim Podholjuzin
- 78 Danyil Mashchenko
- 59 Bogdan Vaštšuk
- 8 Oleksandr Musolitin
- 8 Alexander Musolitin
- 20 Modou Tambedou
- 26 Rommi Siht
- 17 Enrique Lotar
- 10 Nikita Ivanov
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Shelbourne 57%, the draw 28%, Kalju Nomme 15%. It finished Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju Nomme.
Shelbourne's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Shelbourne are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Shelbourne a clear lead. The draw at 28% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Shelbourne at 57%?
Shelbourne sit 121 points higher on our strength rating — 1276 to 1155. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,558 such games. Shelbourne sit -0.59 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,311 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–25–22.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Kalju Nomme at 15%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Kalju Nomme win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,012. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Shelbourne have 18 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch R. Freitas's goal against Kalju Nomme (3').
- Watch Sean Moore's goal against Kalju Nomme (21').
- Watch Enrique Lotar's goal against Shelbourne (40').
- Watch Sean Moore's goal against Kalju Nomme (47').
- Watch Daniel Ring's goal against Kalju Nomme (89').
- Watch Enrique Lotar's goal against Shelbourne (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju Nomme. Explore more on the Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.