Derry City vs HNK Rijeka — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 14′HNK Rijeka, goal:0–1
- 29′Derry City, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Derry City, yellow card:Foul
- 46′Derry City, substitution:off
- 62′Derry City, substitution:off
- 62′Derry City, substitution:off
- 65′HNK Rijeka, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Derry City, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Derry City, substitution:off
- 81′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 89′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 90+2′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 90+3′Derry City, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
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Derry City vs HNK Rijeka — the facts
HNK Rijeka won 1–0 away against Derry City (half-time 0–1).
Derry City met HNK Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 30 July 2026, 17:30 UTC at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves.
Team pages: Derry City · HNK Rijeka · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Daniel Adu-Adjei — 0–1 · Watch Daniel Adu-Adjei's goal video (14')
Starting line-ups
Derry City (4-2-3-1)
HNK Rijeka (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Derry City 17%, the draw 26%, HNK Rijeka 57%. It finished Derry City 0–1 HNK Rijeka.
HNK Rijeka's rating gap outweighs Derry City's home ground — HNK Rijeka are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of HNK Rijeka's 57%. The draw at 26% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why HNK Rijeka at 57%?
HNK Rijeka sit 384 points higher on our strength rating — 1232 to 1617. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,147 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 19–25–56.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Derry City at 17%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,034. The goals environment adds 3.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
HNK Rijeka have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,089 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Derry City have 22 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Derry City vs HNK Rijeka final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Derry City 0–1 HNK Rijeka. Explore more on the Derry City and HNK Rijeka team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.