NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 12′Olympiacos, yellow card:Foul
- 15′Olympiacos, substitution:off
- 30′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 34′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 46′Olympiacos, goal:0–1
- 55′Olympiacos, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Olympiacos, yellow card:Foul
- 61′Olympiacos, substitution:off
- 70′NEC Nijmegen, goal:1–1assist
- 72′Olympiacos, substitution:off
- 72′Olympiacos, substitution:off
- 79′Olympiacos, VAR review:Card upgrade
- 80′Olympiacos, red card:Foul
- 88′NEC Nijmegen, yellow card:Foul
- 88′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 90+4′NEC Nijmegen, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 90+4′NEC Nijmegen, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 1
- 95′NEC Nijmegen, goal:2–1assist
- 103′Olympiacos, substitution:off
- 103′Olympiacos, substitution:off
- Half-time · E.T.2 – 1
- 106′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 106′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 106′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 111′Olympiacos, yellow card:Argument
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos
Match report
NEC Nijmegen stun 10-man Olympiakos with extra-time winner
NEC Nijmegen came from behind to beat Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 after extra time in the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round, at Stadion de Goffert. The tie was level at 1-1 after 90 minutes before Emre Mor settled it deep into the additional period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Olympiakos struck first through Ayoub El Kaabi just a minute into the second half, giving the visitors a lead they held for almost twenty-five minutes. NEC responded in the 70th minute when Bryan Linssen converted an assist from Dušan Tadić to draw the hosts level at 1-1.
The contest turned decisively when Konstantinos Fortounis was sent off for Olympiakos in the 80th minute, leaving the visitors to play out the remainder of normal time and extra time a man short. NEC made the numerical advantage count in the 95th minute, Mor finishing from a Kaj Sierhuis assist to complete the turnaround at 2-1.
NEC dominated territory and chances throughout, holding 54 percent of possession and outshooting Olympiakos 16 to 10, with seven shots on target to just two for the visitors.
Emre Mor scored the decisive extra-time goal and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.9 mark. Tadić also played a key hand, setting up NEC's equaliser to finish with a 7.7 rating.
NEC's 16 shots to Olympiakos's 10 reflected their greater control of the match, particularly after their opponents were reduced to ten men.
NEC Nijmegen beat Olympiacos 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
NEC Nijmegen met Olympiacos in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC at Stadion de Goffert. Referee: Maurizio Mariani.
Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Olympiacos · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Ayoub El Kaabi — 0–1 · Watch Ayoub El Kaabi's goal video (46')
- 70' Goal: Bryan Linssen (assist: Dušan Tadić) — 1–1 · Watch Bryan Linssen's goal video (70')
- 80' Red card: Kostas Fortounis
- 95' Goal: Emre Mor (assist: Kaj Sierhuis) — 2–1 · Watch Emre Mor's goal video (95')
Starting line-ups
NEC Nijmegen (3-1-4-2)
Olympiacos (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NEC Nijmegen 34%, the draw 29%, Olympiacos 37%. It finished NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Olympiacos.
Olympiacos' rating edge outweighs NEC Nijmegen's home ground — Olympiacos are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Olympiacos' 37%. The draw at 29% is up from the usual 27.2% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Olympiacos at 37%?
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 111 points higher on our strength rating — 1658 to 1769. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,031 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 34–30–36.
Why only 37%?
NEC Nijmegen sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,335 such games where the class table expected 36.2%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,535. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NEC Nijmegen average 16 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 111 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. NEC Nijmegen have shed 76 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,594 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ayoub El Kaabi's goal against NEC Nijmegen (46').
- Watch Bryan Linssen's goal against Olympiacos (70').
- Watch Emre Mor's goal against Olympiacos (95').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Olympiacos. Explore more on the NEC Nijmegen and Olympiacos team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.