HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 14′Carrarese, goal:0–1assist
- 40′Carrarese, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Padova, substitution:off
- 46′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 51′Carrarese, goal:0–2assist
- 51′Padova, yellow card:Dissent
- 56′Padova, substitution:off
- 56′Padova, substitution:off
- 60′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 62′Carrarese, yellow card:Foul
- 67′Padova, substitution:off
- 72′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 72′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 79′Padova, substitution:off
- 80′Carrarese, yellow card:Time wasting
- 81′Carrarese, yellow card:Time wasting
- 90+3′Carrarese, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Padova
Carrarese
Match report
Carrarese earn first win of Serie B season with 2-0 victory at Padova
Carrarese won 2-0 at Padova on matchday 6 of Serie B at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, a result that gave the visitors their first victory of the campaign. They had arrived with a single point from five games and left with four from six, climbing from 20th to 18th in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Tommaso Rubino put the visitors ahead in the 14th minute, finishing from a Gabriele Parlanti assist. That was the only goal of a first half in which Padova held more of the ball without turning possession into clear chances, and Carrarese went in at the interval with a 1-0 lead.
The second goal arrived six minutes after the restart. Niccolò Belloni supplied the pass and Jonas Rouhi converted in the 51st minute to make it 2-0. Padova had 11 shots to 10 and 56 per cent possession, but only one of their efforts was on target, against four from Carrarese.
The defeat ended a run of home games in which Padova had won four and drawn one, conceding once. They stayed 11th on seven points, while Carrarese, who had lost four of their previous five league games, took their first points since a 1-1 draw at Ascoli.
Tommaso Rubino scored the opening goal in the 14th minute and earned the match's highest rating, 8.2. Jonas Rouhi, who added the second, was close behind on 8.09.
Carrarese managed four shots on target to Padova's one, despite being outshot 11 to 10 overall.
Carrarese won 2–0 away against Padova (half-time 0–1).
Padova met Carrarese in the Serie B (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stadio Comunale Euganeo. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta.
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Tommaso Rubino (assist: Gabriele Parlanti) — 0–1
- 51' Goal: Jonas Rouhi (assist: Niccolò Belloni) — 0–2
Starting line-ups
Padova (3-5-2)
Carrarese (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Padova 34%, the draw 40%, Carrarese 26%. It finished Padova 0–2 Carrarese.
Level sides, home ground holds off Carrarese's cold finishing due to recover — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Padova's 34% is home ground and little else. The draw at 40% is the likeliest single result, helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Padova in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1347 to 1314. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,710 home games (draw 27.7%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 34%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Carrarese sit -0.54 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,364 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,069 games vs 44.6% across all 101,096 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,733. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 3.9 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Carrarese have shed 68 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,587 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Padova have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Padova vs Carrarese final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Padova 0–2 Carrarese. Explore more on the Padova and Carrarese team pages or the Serie B page.