HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′Modena, goal:1–0assist
- 16′Modena, yellow card:Argument
- 24′Hellas Verona, goal:1–1
- 28′Hellas Verona, goal:1–2
- 45+2′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Handball
- Half-time1 – 2
- 53′Modena, substitution:off
- 53′Modena, substitution:off
- 54′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Handball
- 62′Modena, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 68′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 68′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 68′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 74′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 77′Hellas Verona, second yellow card:Handball
- 79′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 81′Modena, substitution:off
- 85′Modena, goal:2–2assist
- 89′Modena, substitution:off
- 90′Modena, goal:3–2
- 90+7′Modena, yellow card:
- Full-time3 – 2
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Modena
Hellas Verona
Match report
Belotti's 90+5 winner lifts Modena past Hellas Verona
Modena beat Hellas Verona 3-2 in Serie B on Matchday 6 at the Alberto Braglia, with Andrea Belotti scoring in the 90+5 minute after the home side had trailed for most of the match. The result moved Modena from sixth to third in the table, on 13 points from six games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Giuseppe Caso put the hosts ahead in the 13th minute, finishing a pass from Gastón Brugman. Verona responded quickly through Daniel Mosquera, who equalised in the 24th minute and struck again four minutes later to make it 1-2. Modena went in at the break behind despite having much of the ball.
The game turned in the 77th minute, when Verona's Andrias Edmundsson was sent off. Playing against ten men, Modena levelled in the 85th minute as Daniele Montevago converted Caso's assist, and Belotti then claimed the decisive goal deep into stoppage time to complete a five-goal contest.
Verona stayed ninth on seven points. They had arrived in good recent form, with three wins from their previous five league games, but they could not hold on once reduced to ten players.
Mosquera scored twice for Verona inside five minutes and earned the highest rating on the pitch, 8.61, though it was not enough to avoid defeat. Caso, rated 8.45, scored once and set up Montevago's equaliser.
Modena had 62 per cent of the possession against Verona's 38 per cent.
Modena beat Hellas Verona 3–2 (half-time 1–2).
Modena met Hellas Verona in the Serie B (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 17:30 UTC at Alberto Braglia. Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena.
Team pages: Modena · Hellas Verona · Serie B
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Giuseppe Caso (assist: Gastón Brugman) — 1–0
- 24' Goal: Daniel Mosquera — 1–1
- 28' Goal: Daniel Mosquera — 1–2
- 77' Red card: Andrias Edmundsson
- 85' Goal: Daniele Montevago (assist: Giuseppe Caso) — 2–2
- 90' Goal: Andrea Belotti — 3–2
Starting line-ups
Modena (3-5-2)
Hellas Verona (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Modena 28%, the draw 40%, Hellas Verona 32%. It finished Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona.
Hellas Verona's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Hellas Verona are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover plus a weak Serie B home advantage on top give Hellas Verona the lean. The draw at 40% is the likeliest single result, helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Hellas Verona at 32%?
Hellas Verona sit 42 points higher on our strength rating — 1433 to 1475. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,374 such games. Hellas Verona sit -0.57 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,364 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,069 games vs 44.6% across all 101,096 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 41–29–30.
Why only 32%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 32% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 40% and Modena at 28%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,299. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.6 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Modena vs Hellas Verona final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona. Explore more on the Modena and Hellas Verona team pages or the Serie B page.