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- 37′Sudtirol, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time
- 46′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 48′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- 66′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 67′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- 73′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 73′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 73′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 75′Ascoli, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 80′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 80′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 86′Ascoli, substitution:off
- Full-time
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Sudtirol
Ascoli
Match report
Sudtirol and Ascoli share a goalless draw at the Stadio Druso
Sudtirol and Ascoli finished 0-0 at the Stadio Druso in a Serie B Matchday 6 fixture that produced no goals in either half. The result left second-placed Sudtirol on 12 points from six games, while fourth-placed Ascoli reached 11.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts created the clearer openings, having 16 shots to Ascoli's 9 and four on target to two. Their expected goals figure of 1.17 against 0.70 also reflected the better chances, yet neither goalkeeper was beaten over the 90 minutes.
Ascoli, coached by Francesco Tomei, saw more of the ball, holding 58 per cent of possession to Sudtirol's 42. That territorial edge brought little reward, with both sides winning five corners and referee Niccolo Turrini showing no red cards.
The contest was a physical one at times. Sudtirol committed 15 fouls and collected four yellow cards, while Ascoli were penalised eight times and cautioned once, as D. Possanzini's side held on for a point.
Ascoli's Samuele Vitale earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 7.35, in a match without goals or assists. Sudtirol's Simone Davì was the best-rated home player on 7.27.
Sudtirol had 16 shots to Ascoli's 9 despite having only 42 per cent of the possession.
Sudtirol and Ascoli drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Sudtirol met Ascoli in the Serie B (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Druso. Referee: Niccolo Turrini.
Starting line-ups
Sudtirol (5-4-1)
Ascoli (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sudtirol 33%, the draw 38%, Ascoli 29%. It finished Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli.
Level sides, home ground holds off Ascoli's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Sudtirol's 33% is home ground and little else. The draw at 38% is the likeliest single result, helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Sudtirol in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1398 to 1409. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,793 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 33%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Ascoli hold 11 more possession points (57 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,466 games, from 43.9% when styles were level. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,063 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,284. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 6.9 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Sudtirol have gained 69 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,169 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Sudtirol come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals, 19 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sudtirol vs Ascoli final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli. Explore more on the Sudtirol and Ascoli team pages or the Serie B page.