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Dinamo Zagreb vs 04.08.26 18:005 – 0Full Time
Kauno Žalgiris — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Dinamo Zagreb beat Kauno Žalgiris 5–0 (half-time 2–0).
Dinamo Zagreb met Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 4 August 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stadion Maksimir. Referee: Eric Lambrechts.
Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dinamo Zagreb 85%, the draw 10%, Kauno Žalgiris 5%. It finished Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Kauno Žalgiris.
Dinamo Zagreb's rating gap decides it — Dinamo Zagreb are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Dinamo Zagreb's 85%. The draw at 10% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Dinamo Zagreb sit 508 points higher on our strength rating — 1749 to 1242. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.7% of 5,041 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 87–8–5.
No scored evidence points the other way. 85% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 10% and Kauno Žalgiris at 5%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 9.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,708.
Dinamo Zagreb have shed 78 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,573 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Kauno Žalgiris have 21 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Kauno Žalgiris. Explore more on the Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
Dinamo Zagreb beat Kauno Žalgiris 5–0 (half-time 2–0).
Miha Zajc (31') for Dinamo Zagreb; Scott McKenna (33') for Dinamo Zagreb; Mateo Lisica (51') for Dinamo Zagreb; Luka Stojković (76') for Dinamo Zagreb; Lukas Kačavenda (90') for Dinamo Zagreb.
Goal highlights and video clips from Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Kauno Žalgiris are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris have met 1 time — 1 win for Dinamo Zagreb, 0 wins for Kauno Žalgiris and 0 draws.