Universitatea Craiova vs 13.08.26 17:002 – 1Full TimeAgg: 3 – 2
KuPS — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS — the facts
Universitatea Craiova beat KuPS 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Universitatea Craiova met KuPS in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco. Referee: Nenad Minaković.
Team pages: Universitatea Craiova · KuPS · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Valentín Gasc (assist: Tommi Jyry) — 0–1
- 43' Goal (penalty): Steven Nsimba — 1–1
- 62' Goal: Carlos Mora (assist: Assad Al Hamlawi) — 2–1 · Watch Carlos Mora's goal video (62')
Starting line-ups
Universitatea Craiova
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Universitatea Craiova 68%, the draw 20%, KuPS 12%. It finished Universitatea Craiova 2–1 KuPS.
Universitatea Craiova's rating gap decides it — Universitatea Craiova are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and UEFA Europa League home advantage on top gives Universitatea Craiova a clear lead. The draw at 20% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Universitatea Craiova at 68%?
Universitatea Craiova sit 221 points higher on our strength rating — 1568 to 1348. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,920 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,402 games vs 44.9% across all 98,968 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–25–14.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and KuPS at 12%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,071. The goals environment adds 2.3 points to the draw. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
KuPS average 6 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 221 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Universitatea Craiova 2–1 KuPS. Explore more on the Universitatea Craiova and KuPS team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?
Universitatea Craiova beat KuPS 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
›Who scored in Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?
Valentín Gasc (4') for KuPS; Steven Nsimba (43') (penalty) for Universitatea Craiova; Carlos Mora (62') for Universitatea Craiova.
›Where can I watch Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Universitatea Craiova 2–1 KuPS are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Universitatea Craiova and KuPS?
Universitatea Craiova and KuPS have met 1 time — 0 wins for Universitatea Craiova, 0 wins for KuPS and 1 draw.