Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 21′Omonia Nicosia, goal:1–0assist
- 34′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Roughing
- Half-time1 – 0
- 61′Omonia Nicosia, substitution:off
- 64′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 64′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:A. El Ghobashyoff
- 71′Omonia Nicosia, substitution:off
- 71′Omonia Nicosia, substitution:off
- 71′Omonia Nicosia, substitution:off
- 72′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 84′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:L. Masonoff
- 84′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 84′Omonia Nicosia, substitution:off
- 85′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Tripping
- 88′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Roughing
- 90+1′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:A. El GhobashyTripping
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Omonia Nicosia
Formation unavailable
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Formation unavailable
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Match report
Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC — the facts
Omonia Nicosia beat Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Omonia Nicosia met Lincoln Red Imps FC in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at GSP Stadium. Referee: Sebastian Gishamer.
Team pages: Omonia Nicosia · Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Loïs Diony (assist: Muamer Tankovic) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Omonia Nicosia
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Omonia Nicosia 77%, the draw 14%, Lincoln Red Imps FC 9%. It finished Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Omonia Nicosia's rating gap decides it — Omonia Nicosia are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and UEFA Europa League home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Omonia Nicosia. The draw at 14% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Why Omonia Nicosia at 77%?
Omonia Nicosia sit 385 points higher on our strength rating — 1610 to 1224. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,061 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,402 games vs 44.9% across all 98,968 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 75–15–10.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 77% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 14% and Lincoln Red Imps FC at 9%.
Why is the draw only 14%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 14.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,071. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off. The goals environment adds 1.7 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Omonia Nicosia average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 385 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Lincoln Red Imps FC have shed 117 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,598 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Omonia Nicosia and Lincoln Red Imps FC team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.