Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 21′Panathinaikos, goal:1–0assist
- 31′CSKA 1948, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 50′CSKA 1948, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 67′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 67′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 67′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 69′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Foul
- 74′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 85′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 85′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948
Match report
Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 — the facts
Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Panathinaikos met CSKA 1948 in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 5 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Olympic Stadium of Athens. Referee: Matteo Marchetti.
Team pages: Panathinaikos · CSKA 1948 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Adriano Jagušić (assist: Santino Andino) — 1–0 · Watch Adriano Jagušić's goal video (21')
- 31' Goal: Georgi Rusev (assist: Héctor Cuellar) — 1–1 · Watch Georgi Rusev's goal video (31')
Starting line-ups
Panathinaikos (4-2-3-1)
CSKA 1948 (4-4-1-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Panathinaikos 65%, the draw 23%, CSKA 1948 12%. It finished Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948.
Panathinaikos' rating gap decides it — Panathinaikos are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Panathinaikos' 65%. The draw at 23% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Panathinaikos at 65%?
Panathinaikos sit 279 points higher on our strength rating — 1694 to 1414. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,903 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 67–21–12.
Why only 65%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 65% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and CSKA 1948 at 12%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,047. The goals environment adds 2.7 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
CSKA 1948 have 8 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Adriano Jagušić's goal against CSKA 1948 (21').
- Watch Georgi Rusev's goal against Panathinaikos (31').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948. Explore more on the Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.