Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 12′Qarabag, goal:1–0assist
- 29′Dynamo Kyiv, yellow card:Unsporting behaviour
- 45+4′Dynamo Kyiv, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 62′Qarabag, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Qarabag, goal:2–0assist
- 72′Qarabag, substitution:off
- 72′Dynamo Kyiv, substitution:off
- 73′Qarabag, substitution:off
- 73′Qarabag, substitution:off
- 73′Dynamo Kyiv, substitution:off
- 73′Dynamo Kyiv, substitution:off
- 79′Dynamo Kyiv, substitution:off
- 80′Qarabag, substitution:off
- 83′Dynamo Kyiv, substitution:off
- 88′Qarabag, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Qarabag
4-2-1-3
Dynamo Kyiv
4-2-3-1
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Videos
Match report
Qarabag brush aside Dynamo Kyiv to move closer in Conference League tie
Qarabag beat Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, dominating a match they had led since the opening quarter of an hour. The result gave Qurban Qurbanov's side control of the tie ahead of any return leg, with Igor Kostyuk's Dynamo Kyiv unable to find a response.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jaly Mouaddib put the hosts ahead in the 12th minute, finishing from an assist by Matheus Silva to give Qarabag an early cushion that shaped the rest of the contest. The lead stood at half-time, with Qarabag content to control the ball and limit Dynamo Kyiv to fleeting moments in possession.
Oleksii Kashchuk doubled the advantage in the 69th minute, converting a chance created by Elvin Cəfərquliyev to make it 2-0 and effectively settle the outcome. Qarabag saw out the remainder of the match comfortably, with no cards shown to either side and Dynamo Kyiv unable to muster a single shot on target across the ninety minutes.
Kashchuk struck the decisive second goal in the 69th minute, turning a narrow first-half lead into a commanding one for Qarabag.
Qarabag's dominance was underlined by their 74% share of possession against Dynamo Kyiv's 26%.
Qarabag beat Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Qarabag met Dynamo Kyiv in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 13 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Referee: Stuart Attwell.
Team pages: Qarabag · Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Jaly Mouaddib (assist: Matheus Silva) — 1–0 · Watch Jaly Mouaddib's goal video (12')
- 69' Goal: Oleksii Kashchuk (assist: Elvin Cəfərquliyev) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Qarabag (4-2-1-3)
Dynamo Kyiv (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Qarabag 57%, the draw 24%, Dynamo Kyiv 19%. It finished Qarabag 2–0 Dynamo Kyiv.
Qarabag's rating edge carries it — Qarabag are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Qarabag's 57%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Qarabag at 57%?
Qarabag sit 122 points higher on our strength rating — 1671 to 1549. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,683 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–23–17.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Dynamo Kyiv at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,767.
What did we measure but not count?
Qarabag scored +0.51 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,755 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Dynamo Kyiv scored +0.49 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Qarabag 2–0 Dynamo Kyiv. Explore more on the Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.