Ilves vs HNK Rijeka — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 59′Ilves, substitution:off
- 64′Ilves, goal:1–0assist
- 67′Ilves, substitution:off
- 70′HNK Rijeka, goal:1–1assist
- 71′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 81′Ilves, substitution:off
- 81′Ilves, substitution:off
- 81′Ilves, substitution:off
- 84′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- 87′HNK Rijeka, yellow card:Foul
- 90′HNK Rijeka, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Ilves
4-3-3
HNK Rijeka
4-2-3-1
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Match report
Ilves and Rijeka share the points in Conference League qualifier
Ilves and HNK Rijeka drew 1-1 at Tammelan Stadion in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, a scoreline that left the tie level heading into the second leg. Neither side found a breakthrough before the interval, with the match goalless at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The deadlock was broken in the 64th minute when Stanislav Baranov converted from Teemu Hytönen's assist to put Ilves ahead. Rijeka responded quickly, drawing level just six minutes later through Justas Lasickas, who finished off a chance created by Ante Majstorović to make it 1-1, a scoreline that held until the final whistle.
Rijeka had the greater share of possession at 55 percent and edged the shots on target count 5 to 4, reflecting a contest in which the visitors were slightly more assertive in and around the Ilves box. Ilves, for their part, were the more physical side, committing 12 fouls to Rijeka's eight, while referee Genc Nuza issued just one caution across the match, to a Rijeka player.
Baranov gave Ilves the lead with his 64th-minute finish, assisted by Hytönen, in what proved the decisive home contribution of the evening.
Rijeka's 55 percent share of possession suggested the visitors controlled longer spells of the contest despite conceding first.
Ilves and HNK Rijeka drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Ilves met HNK Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 13 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Tammelan Stadion. Referee: Genc Nuza.
Team pages: Ilves · HNK Rijeka · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 64' Goal: Stanislav Baranov (assist: Teemu Hytönen) — 1–0
- 70' Goal: Justas Lasickas (assist: Ante Majstorović) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Ilves (4-3-3)
- 12 Faris Krkalić
- 3 Matias Rale
- 24 Ville Kumpu
- 5 Sauli Väisänen
- 4 Oliver Pettersson
- 4 Oliver Pettersson
- 6 Yiandro Raap
- 14 Anton Popovitch
- 22 Oskari Multala
- 25 S. Suvanne
- 9 Teemu Hytönen
- 30 Jardell Kanga
HNK Rijeka (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ilves 19%, the draw 26%, HNK Rijeka 55%. It finished Ilves 1–1 HNK Rijeka.
HNK Rijeka's rating gap outweighs Ilves' home ground — HNK Rijeka are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of HNK Rijeka's 55%. The draw at 26% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why HNK Rijeka at 55%?
HNK Rijeka sit 345 points higher on our strength rating — 1277 to 1622. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,167 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–24–55.
Why only 55%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 55% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Ilves at 19%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,071. The goals environment adds 3.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
HNK Rijeka's last five: W-W-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2180 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3988 when clearly colder. Ilves have 16 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ilves vs HNK Rijeka final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Ilves and HNK Rijeka team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.