Birmingham vs 25.08.26 19:001 – 6Full Time
Brentford — League Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Brentford thrash Birmingham 6-1 to reach League Cup last 32
Brentford ran riot at Birmingham, winning 6-1 in the League Cup Round of 64 to book their place in the next round. Callum Wilson opened the scoring after six minutes, assisted by Yehor Yarmolyuk, before Demarai Gray levelled for Birmingham on 28 minutes with Paik Seung-Ho providing the assist.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Brentford responded emphatically before the break. Aaron Hickey restored the visitors' lead in the 35th minute, and Nathan Collins added a third five minutes later, converting a Jaidon Anthony assist to send the sides in at 1-3 at half-time.
The second half brought no respite for Birmingham as Brentford added three further goals. Mikkel Damsgaard struck in the 70th minute, Thiago followed three minutes later, and Collins completed his double in the 77th minute, with Anthony supplying the assist for all three second-half goals and Mamadou Sangaré also teeing up Collins' second.
Nathan Collins scored twice, including the goal that made it 1-6, and finished with a rating of 9.9, the highest of the match.
Brentford dominated territorially, finishing with 69% of possession to Birmingham's 31%.
Brentford won 6–1 away against Birmingham (half-time 1–3).
Birmingham met Brentford in the League Cup (Round of 64). Kick-off was Tuesday, 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park. Referee: Tim Robinson.
Team pages: Birmingham · Brentford · League Cup
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Callum Wilson (assist: Yehor Yarmolyuk) — 0–1 · Watch Callum Wilson's goal video (6')
- 28' Goal: Demarai Gray (assist: Paik Seung-Ho) — 1–1 · Watch Demarai Gray's goal video (28')
- 35' Goal: Aaron Hickey — 1–2 · Watch Aaron Hickey's goal video (35')
- 40' Goal: Nathan Collins (assist: Jaidon Anthony) — 1–3 · Watch Nathan Collins's goal video (40')
- 70' Goal: Mikkel Damsgaard (assist: Jaidon Anthony) — 1–4 · Watch Mikkel Damsgaard's goal video (70')
- 73' Goal: Igor Thiago (assist: Jaidon Anthony) — 1–5 · Watch Igor Thiago's goal video (73')
- 77' Goal: Nathan Collins (assist: Mamadou Sangaré) — 1–6 · Watch Nathan Collins's goal video (77')
Starting line-ups
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Brentford (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Birmingham 12%, the draw 20%, Brentford 68%. It finished Birmingham 1–6 Brentford.
Brentford's rating gap outweighs Birmingham's home ground — Brentford are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Brentford's 68%. The draw at 20% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Brentford at 68%?
Brentford sit 474 points higher on our strength rating — 1485 to 1959. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,205 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 11–20–69.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Birmingham at 12%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,656. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 6 between them: Birmingham 2 wins, 4 draws, Brentford 0 wins. Most recently Brentford 0–0 Birmingham, 5 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5055 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Birmingham vs Brentford final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this League Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Callum Wilson's goal against Birmingham (6').
- Watch Demarai Gray's goal against Brentford (28').
- Watch Aaron Hickey's goal against Birmingham (35').
- Watch Nathan Collins's goal against Birmingham (40').
- Watch Mikkel Damsgaard's goal against Birmingham (70').
- Watch Igor Thiago's goal against Birmingham (73').
- Watch Nathan Collins's goal against Birmingham (77').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Birmingham 1–6 Brentford. Explore more on the Birmingham and Brentford team pages or the League Cup page.
