Gremio vs 03.09.26 23:003 – 1Full TimeAgg: 3 – 1
Internacional — Copa Do Brasil: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Gremio overpower Internacional to seize control of Copa do Brasil tie
Gremio beat Internacional 3-1 at home in the first leg of their Copa do Brasil quarter-final. Carlos Vinícius struck twice inside the opening 22 minutes, the second set up by Francis Amuzu, to put the home side firmly in charge by half-time with the score at 2-0.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Gremio extended their advantage in the second half when Filip Krovinović converted another Amuzu assist in the 68th minute to make it 3-0. Internacional pulled one back through Vitinho, who finished after a pass from Alan Patrick in the 79th minute, but there was no further scoring as Gremio closed out a 3-1 win.
Gremio dominated the underlying numbers despite holding only 40 percent of possession, out-shooting Internacional 23 to 9 and landing seven shots on target compared to their opponents' five, underlining how ruthlessly they capitalised on their chances.
Carlos Vinícius scored twice and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 9.04, while Francis Amuzu supplied two assists to fuel Gremio's attack.
Gremio managed 23 shots to Internacional's 9, a striking disparity given Internacional held the majority of possession.
Gremio beat Internacional 3–1 (half-time 2–0).
Gremio met Internacional in the Copa Do Brasil (Quarter-finals). Kick-off was Thursday, 3 September 2026, 23:00 UTC. Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo.
Team pages: Gremio · Internacional · Copa Do Brasil
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Carlos Vinícius — 1–0
- 22' Goal: Carlos Vinícius (assist: Francis Amuzu) — 2–0
- 68' Goal: Filip Krovinović (assist: Francis Amuzu) — 3–0
- 79' Goal: Vitinho (assist: Alan Patrick) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Gremio (4-1-4-1)
Internacional (4-3-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gremio 47%, the draw 29%, Internacional 24%. It finished Gremio 3–1 Internacional.
Level sides, Gremio's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Gremio's control of the ball gives Gremio the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Gremio in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1654 to 1639. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,556 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%). Gremio hold 7 more possession points (48 to 41 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,195 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 29% and Internacional at 24%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Internacional win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,168. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
All square after the first leg (Internacional 0–0 Gremio) — the aggregate is what counts. Two-leg ties bend incentives, and we've now measured them: one- and two-goal first-leg leads carried forward almost exactly as the class table predicts — no measurable edge either way, so 0 points and the aggregate does the talking. Gremio are missing 4 regular starters — Gustavo Martins, Erick Noriega, Juan Nardoni — about 34% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gremio vs Internacional final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa Do Brasil fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Gremio and Internacional team pages or the Copa Do Brasil page.