Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsRSC AnderlechtYouTubeMatch Events
- 18′Kairat Almaty, yellow card:Tripping
- 21′Kairat Almaty, yellow card:Tripping
- 35′Kairat Almaty, yellow card:Tripping
- 45′Anderlecht, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 46′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 50′Anderlecht, yellow card:Holding
- 53′Anderlecht, goal:2–0assist
- 55′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 55′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 55′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 57′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 57′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 63′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 63′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 71′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 71′Anderlecht, goal:3–0assist
- 86′Kairat Almaty, yellow card:Holding
- 87′Anderlecht, yellow card:Tripping
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match statsKey Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Videos
Match report
Anderlecht rout Kairat Almaty 3-0 in Europa League play-off
Anderlecht eased into a commanding position in this UEFA Europa League play-off with a 3-0 victory over Kairat Almaty at Lotto Park. The result continued the home side's strong recent form, while Kairat's difficulties on the road persisted.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
M. Cvetkovic broke the deadlock deep into first-half stoppage time, converting a penalty in the 45+2nd minute to send Anderlecht in 1-0 up at the break. The hosts extended their lead early in the second half when Danylo Sikan finished off a Marco Kana assist in the 53rd minute to make it 2-0.
Anderlecht sealed the win in the 71st minute as Giulian Biancone struck after being set up by Marten Winkler, putting the scoreline at 3-0. The home side dominated possession throughout and translated their control into a clear superiority in shots on target, while Kairat struggled to create meaningful chances in response.
Anderlecht's 59% share of possession underlined their control of the tempo throughout the contest.
Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Anderlecht met Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa League (Play-offs). Kick-off was Thursday, 27 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Lotto Park. Referee: Espen Eskas.
Team pages: Anderlecht · Kairat Almaty · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 45' Goal (penalty): Mihajlo Cvetković — 1–0
- 53' Goal: Danylo Sikan (assist: Marco Kana) — 2–0
- 71' Goal: Giulian Biancone (assist: Marten Winkler) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Anderlecht (4-3-3)
Kairat Almaty (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Anderlecht 70%, the draw 17%, Kairat Almaty 13%. It finished Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty.
Anderlecht's rating gap decides it — Anderlecht are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and UEFA Europa League home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Anderlecht. The draw at 17% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Why Anderlecht at 70%?
Anderlecht sit 212 points higher on our strength rating — 1717 to 1505. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,956 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,426 games vs 44.9% across all 99,396 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–20–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 70% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Kairat Almaty at 13%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,882. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Anderlecht's last five: W-W-W-L-W — the hotter side across the games we track. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2194 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 4007 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty. Explore more on the Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.

