KuPS vs 27.08.26 15:001 – 0Full TimeAgg: 2 – 1
Shamrock Rovers — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Own goal from Pico sends KuPS past Shamrock Rovers
KuPS edged Shamrock Rovers 1-0 in the Europa Conference League playoff round at Vare Areena, a result that turned on a single moment midway through the second half. The two sides had gone in level at the break after a goalless first 45 minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough arrived in the 75th minute when Pico turned the ball into his own net, gifting KuPS the lead they would not relinquish. Shamrock Rovers pushed for an equaliser in the closing stages but could not find a way past the home defence, and the score stayed 1-0 until the final whistle.
KuPS dominated territory throughout, holding 62 percent of possession and forcing four shots on target compared to Shamrock Rovers' two. The visitors picked up three yellow cards to KuPS's one, as Patrik Kolarić took charge of a contest in which the hosts controlled the corners tally three to two.
KuPS's 62 percent possession share reflected their control over long spells of the match at Vare Areena.
KuPS beat Shamrock Rovers 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
KuPS met Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League (Playoff round). Kick-off was Thursday, 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC at Vare Areena. Referee: Patrik Kolarić.
Team pages: KuPS · Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 75' Goal (own goal): Graham Burke — 1–0
Starting line-ups
KuPS (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Johannes Kreidl
- 25 Clinton Antwi
- 4 Kasim Adams
- 4 Kasim Adams
- 28 B. Magassa
- 6 Saku Savolainen
- 8 Petteri Pennanen
- 10 Valentín Gasc
- 24 Bob Armah
- 16 Tommi Jyry
- 21 Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
- 20 Piotr Parzyszek
Shamrock Rovers (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave KuPS 43%, the draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 30%. It finished KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers.
Home ground outweighs Shamrock Rovers' rating edge — Shamrock Rovers are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus KuPS' control of the ball give KuPS the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why KuPS at 43%?
Home ground, against the rating. Shamrock Rovers sit 51 points higher on our strength rating — 1344 to 1395. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,541 such games. KuPS hold 5 more possession points (51 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,182 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 43%?
Because Shamrock Rovers are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 27% and Shamrock Rovers at 30%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,882.
What did we measure but not count?
Shamrock Rovers have shed 112 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,664 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the KuPS and Shamrock Rovers team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.