Match report
Twente run riot in extra time to beat ten-man Qarabag 4-1
Twente won 4-1 after extra time at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in the playoff round of the UEFA Europa Conference League, scoring four times after the hour to overturn a one-goal deficit. The match was goalless at half-time and remained so until the 59th minute, when Kady converted a pass from Musa Qurbanlı to put Qarabag ahead.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Twente drew level in the 79th minute through Marko Pjaca, set up by Wout Weghorst. Max Bruns then put them in front in the 90th minute from another Pjaca assist, leaving the visitors 2-1 up when the 90 minutes ended. Weghorst added a third in the 94th minute, this time created by Daouda Weidmann.
Qarabag's task became harder in the 106th minute when Marko Janković was sent off, and they played the rest of extra time with ten men. Younes Taha made it 4-1 in the 114th minute to complete the scoring. Twente next face Qarabag's opponents in a fixture not yet confirmed in our data, so the tie's next step remains to be seen.
Younes Taha scored the fourth goal in the 114th minute and was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 8.2. Marko Pjaca, rated 8.0, scored once and supplied assists for two of the other goals.
Twente had 10 shots on target to one for Qarabag, underlining how one-sided the contest became.
Twente won 4–1 away against Qarabag (half-time 0–0).
Qarabag met Twente in the UEFA Europa Conference League (Playoff round). Kick-off was Thursday, 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Referee: Rohit Saggi.
Team pages: Qarabag · Twente · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 59' Goal: Kady (assist: Musa Qurbanlı) — 1–0
- 79' Goal: Marko Pjaca (assist: Wout Weghorst) — 1–1
- 90' Goal: Max Bruns (assist: Marko Pjaca) — 1–2
- 94' Goal: Wout Weghorst (assist: Daouda Weidmann) — 1–3
- 106' Red card: Marko Janković
- 114' Goal: Younes Taha — 1–4
Starting line-ups
Qarabag (4-2-3-1)
Twente (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Qarabag 36%, the draw 27%, Twente 37%. It finished Qarabag 1–2 Twente.
Anyone's game — Twente are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus Qarabag's hot finishing due to cool is not enough to separate them. The draw at 27% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Twente at 37%?
Twente sit 54 points higher on our strength rating — 1695 to 1749. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,541 such games. Twente hold 8 more possession points (59 to 51 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,549 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. Qarabag scored +0.51 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.6% of 1,470 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing. The 300 most similar past games finished 39–27–34.
Why only 37%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 37% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Qarabag at 36%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,007. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 3 between them: Qarabag 1 win, 2 draws, Twente 0 wins. Most recently Twente 0–1 Qarabag, 6 days ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5056 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Qarabag vs Twente final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Qarabag 1–4 Twente. Explore more on the Qarabag and Twente team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.