Bournemouth vs Lincoln — League Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLincoln City FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 7′Bournemouth, goal:1–0assist
- 27′Lincoln, yellow card:Foul
- 41′Bournemouth, yellow card:Dissent
- Half-time1 – 0
- 48′Lincoln, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 58′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 61′Bournemouth, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 67′Lincoln, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Bournemouth, goal:2–0assist
- 73′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 73′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 73′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 78′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 78′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 78′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 82′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 88′Bournemouth, goal:3–0assist
- 90+4′Bournemouth, goal:4–0assist
- Full-time4 – 0
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Bournemouth
Lincoln
Match report
Christie hat-trick fires Bournemouth past Lincoln into League Cup last 16
Bournemouth thrashed Lincoln 4-0 at the Vitality Stadium in the League Cup Round of 32, with Ryan Christie's hat-trick doing the bulk of the damage against a stubborn but outclassed visiting side.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Christie opened the scoring in the seventh minute, finishing from a Ben Doak assist to give the home side an early lead they never looked like relinquishing. Bournemouth went in 1-0 up at half-time before Christie struck again in the 69th minute, converting a David Brooks assist to double the advantage.
Christie completed his treble in the 88th minute, turning home a Bafodé Diakité assist, and further stoppage-time drama in the closing stages saw Rayan add a fourth, teed up by Daniel Jebbison, to complete a comfortable night's work for Bournemouth.
Christie scored all three of his goals in a man-of-the-match display, finishing with a rating of 9.73 as he tore Lincoln apart on his own.
Bournemouth's dominance was laid bare in the shot count, outshooting Lincoln 35 to just 2 across the match.
Bournemouth beat Lincoln 4–0 (half-time 1–0).
Bournemouth met Lincoln in the League Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Tuesday, 8 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Vitality Stadium. Referee: Elliot Bell.
Team pages: Bournemouth · Lincoln · League Cup
Key moments
- 7' Goal: Ryan Christie (assist: Ben Doak) — 1–0
- 69' Goal: Ryan Christie (assist: David Brooks) — 2–0 · Watch Ryan Christie's goal video (69')
- 88' Goal: Ryan Christie (assist: Bafodé Diakité) — 3–0 · Watch Ryan Christie's goal video (88')
- 90+4' Goal: Rayan (assist: Daniel Jebbison) — 4–0 · Watch Rayan's goal video (90+4')
Starting line-ups
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Lincoln (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bournemouth 88%, the draw 9%, Lincoln 3%. It finished Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln.
Bournemouth's rating gap decides it — Bournemouth are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and a cup tie across divisions on top makes it one-sided for Bournemouth. The draw at 9% is cut by the cup-tie effect.
Why Bournemouth at 88%?
Bournemouth sit 265 points higher on our strength rating — 1955 to 1689. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,985 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Bournemouth carry a 265-point rating edge over Lincoln, who play their league football in a division below. Ratings compress across divisions — a favorite like this is usually better than its number. Higher-division cup favorites won 77.2% of 1,313 such ties where the class table expected 59.7% — positive in every recent season, and it passed our walked forward test before earning points. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–19–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 88% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 9% and Lincoln at 3%.
Why is the draw only 9%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,021. Cup ties across divisions take 9.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bournemouth average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 265 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Bournemouth have gained 75 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,330 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bournemouth vs Lincoln final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this League Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ryan Christie's goal against Lincoln (69').
- Watch Ryan Christie's goal against Lincoln (88').
- Watch Rayan's goal against Lincoln (90+4').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln. Explore more on the Bournemouth and Lincoln team pages or the League Cup page.