Lech Poznan vs 22.10.26 16:451 – 1Full Time
Sunderland — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSunderland AFCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 2′Sunderland, goal:0–1assist
- 41′Sunderland, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 62′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 62′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 63′Sunderland, substitution:off
- 63′Sunderland, substitution:off
- 63′Sunderland, substitution:off
- 63′Sunderland, substitution:off
- 70′Lech Poznan, goal:1–1
- 82′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 82′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 85′Sunderland, substitution:off
- 87′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Lech Poznan
Sunderland
Match report
Lech Poznan fight back to hold Sunderland in Europa League
Lech Poznan and Sunderland drew 1-1 at Stadion Miejski in the third matchday of the Europa League league stage. Sunderland struck inside two minutes, Timur Tuterov finishing from a Nilson Angulo assist to put the visitors 1-0 up, and they took that lead into the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The second half belonged largely to the hosts' resistance and then their recovery. Lech stayed in the contest through a period in which Sunderland, who had 57% of the possession, kept creating chances, and they levelled in the 70th minute when Leo Bengtsson scored to make it 1-1.
Neither side found a winner. Sunderland had 25 shots to 16 and 11 on target to six, but the hosts held firm. Lech return to Ekstraklasa action with an away game at Legia Warszawa on Sunday 25 October, the same day Sunderland host Leeds in the Premier League.
Mateusz Lis was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 8.59 for Lech. Timur Tuterov, who scored Sunderland's goal, was rated 8.07, with Nilson Angulo on 7.7 for his assist.
Sunderland had 11 shots on target to Lech's six, though they could not turn that edge into more than a single goal.
Lech Poznan and Sunderland drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Lech Poznan met Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stadion Miejski. Referee: Balazs Berke.
Team pages: Lech Poznan · Sunderland · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Timur Tuterov (assist: Nilson Angulo) — 0–1 · Watch Timur Tuterov's goal video (2')
- 70' Goal: Leo Bengtsson — 1–1 · Watch Leo Bengtsson's goal video (70')
Starting line-ups
Lech Poznan (4-2-3-1)
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lech Poznan 37%, the draw 25%, Sunderland 38%. It finished Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland.
Sunderland's stronger rating offset by home advantage — Our strength rating has Sunderland 71 points higher, 1667 to 1596, but the usual home advantage for Lech Poznan brings the two sides almost level, so we give Sunderland 38% and Lech Poznan 37%. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size and falls to 25%, mainly because both teams' recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Sunderland at 38%?
Sunderland sit 71 points higher on our strength rating — 1667 to 1596. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,422 such games. Sunderland sit -0.64 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,389 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Lech Poznan scored +0.67 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.4% of 1,494 games, vs 27.7% against normal finishing. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–29–40.
Why only 38%?
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,474 games vs 44.6% across all 101,492 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 17,081. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Dan Ballard and Thomas Meunier, rotation players. Doubtful: Brian Brobbey, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Timur Tuterov's goal against Lech Poznan (2').
- Watch Leo Bengtsson's goal against Sunderland (70').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland. Explore more on the Lech Poznan and Sunderland team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.