Celje vs 22.10.26 19:002 – 2Full Time
Red Bull Salzburg — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsFC Red Bull SalzburgYouTubeMatch Events
- 9′Red Bull Salzburg, goal:0–1assist
- 32′Celje, yellow card:Foul
- 35′Red Bull Salzburg, yellow card:Foul
- 42′Celje, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Red Bull Salzburg, substitution:off
- 46′Red Bull Salzburg, substitution:off
- 46′Red Bull Salzburg, goal:0–2assist
- 50′Celje, goal:1–2assist
- 60′Celje, substitution:off
- 65′Red Bull Salzburg, substitution:off
- 81′Celje, substitution:off
- 81′Celje, substitution:off
- 83′Red Bull Salzburg, substitution:off
- 90′Celje, goal:2–2assist
- 90+2′Red Bull Salzburg, yellow card:Time wasting
- 90+4′Celje, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
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Celje
Red Bull Salzburg
Match report
Celje come from two down to draw with Red Bull Salzburg
Celje rescued a 2-2 draw against Red Bull Salzburg at Stadion Z’dežele in the third round of the Europa League league stage, Armandas Kučys scoring an equaliser in the 90th minute after the hosts had trailed by two goals.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Salzburg were ahead inside nine minutes, Sota Kitano finishing from a Damir Redzic assist. The visitors doubled the lead in the 46th minute, Jesper Lindstrøm scoring from another Redzic pass, and Celje went into the second half with little sign of a way back.
The response was immediate. Blaž Kramer pulled one back in the 50th minute, converting a Svit Sešlar assist, and Celje pressed for the remainder. Yaya Dukuly supplied the pass for Kučys's late leveller. The comeback ended a run of three defeats in a row for Celje.
Both sides play away next, in the competition again on Thursday 5 November: Celje visit Sturm Graz, while Salzburg travel to Anderlecht.
Kramer scored Celje's first goal and was the highest-rated performer in the match, with 8.18. Kučys, who scored the late equaliser, was close behind on 8.11.
Salzburg had 15 shots to Celje's 9, but the two sides finished level.
Celje and Red Bull Salzburg drew 2–2 (half-time 0–1).
Celje met Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadion Z’dežele. Referee: John Brooks.
Team pages: Celje · Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Sota Kitano (assist: Damir Redzic) — 0–1
- 46' Goal: Jesper Lindstrøm (assist: Damir Redzic) — 0–2
- 50' Goal: Blaž Kramer (assist: Svit Sešlar) — 1–2
- 90' Goal: Armandas Kučys (assist: Yaya Dukuly) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Celje (4-3-3)
Red Bull Salzburg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Celje 38%, the draw 23%, Red Bull Salzburg 39%. It finished Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg.
Salzburg's rating edge offset by Celje at home — Our strength rating puts Red Bull Salzburg 156 points higher, but Celje's home advantage and a cold finishing streak, the kind that has tended to bounce back, pull them level at 38% to 39%. The draw starts at 27.6% for a gap this size, then drops to 23% because Europa League games are drawn less often and that finishing streak lowers it further.
Why Red Bull Salzburg at 39%?
Red Bull Salzburg sit 156 points higher on our strength rating — 1604 to 1448. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,876 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–22–48.
Why only 39%?
Celje sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.6% of 2,563 such games where the class table expected 35.8%. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,474 games vs 44.6% across all 101,492 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,276. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off. The bounce-back factor takes 1.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Celje are 1 game into a new manager (Z. Željkovič), appointed 7 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Red Bull Salzburg's last five in the competitions we cover: D-W-W-W-L — the hotter side across the games we track. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.6% of 1912 games when clearly hotter and 43.6% of 3672 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg. Explore more on the Celje and Red Bull Salzburg team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.