Aarhus vs 22.10.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
Egnatia Rrogozhinë — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
- 3′Aarhus, red card:Professional foul last man
- 11′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, yellow card:Foul
- 12′Aarhus, substitution:off
- 13′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, goal:0–1assist
- 16′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, yellow card:Foul
- 39′Aarhus, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Aarhus, substitution:off
- 46′Aarhus, substitution:off
- 49′Aarhus, goal:1–1assist
- 54′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, substitution:off
- 54′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, substitution:off
- 63′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, substitution:off
- 63′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, substitution:off
- 66′Aarhus, substitution:off
- 72′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, yellow card:Foul
- 83′Aarhus, substitution:off
- 87′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, substitution:off
- 90+3′Egnatia Rrogozhinë, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
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Aarhus
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Match report
Ten-man Aarhus hold Egnatia Rrogozhinë to a 1-1 draw
Aarhus drew 1-1 with Egnatia Rrogozhinë at Cepheus Park in the second matchday of the Europa Conference League league stage, a result earned despite playing almost the entire match with ten men. Eric Kahl was sent off in the third minute, and the home side spent the rest of the evening defending.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Egnatia took the lead in the 13th minute. Ildi Gruda finished from D. Adjessa's assist to make it 1-0, and that was how the half ended, with the visitors dominant on the ball and Aarhus restricted to occasional breaks.
Aarhus levelled four minutes into the second half. J. Bogere scored from Sebastian Jørgensen's assist in the 49th minute, and the home side then held on for the point. The draw ended a run of four defeats in a row for Aarhus, who had lost four of their previous five games.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw an 18% chance. Both sides play again on Thursday 5 November: Aarhus host SC Braga, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë travel to Universitatea Craiova, both in the Europa Conference League.
Ildi Gruda scored the opening goal for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.0. J. Bogere, who equalised for Aarhus, was rated 7.6.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë had 66% of the possession against ten-man Aarhus, whose 34% reflected how long they spent without the ball.
Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Aarhus met Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Cepheus Park. Referee: Ante Culina.
Team pages: Aarhus · Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 3' Red card: Eric Kahl
- 13' Goal: Ildi Gruda (assist: D. Adjessa) — 0–1
- 49' Goal: J. Bogere (assist: Sebastian Jørgensen) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Aarhus (3-4-2-1)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë (4-3-1-2)
- 98 Mario Dajsinani
- 29 Andrey Yago
- 28 Eljon Sota
- 33 Eneo Bitri
- 22 Guillem Jaime
- 20 Karim Loukili
- 6 Albano Aleksi (c)
- 17 Altin Kryeziu
- 10 Alessandro Albanese
- 77 Ildi Gruda
- 2 D. Adjessa
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Aarhus 68%, the draw 18%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 14%. It finished Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Aarhus lead on a clear strength gap — Aarhus sit 166 points higher on our strength rating, 1501 to 1335, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 68%. The draw starts near 20%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 18% because both sides' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Aarhus at 68%?
Aarhus sit 166 points higher on our strength rating — 1501 to 1335. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,594 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–21–17.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 14%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 17,081. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Aarhus (13 fully-tracked matches with us) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë (21) carry strength ratings anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Explore more on the Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.