Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
- 41′Panathinaikos, goal:1–0assist
- 44′CSKA Sofia, goal:1–1assist
- 45′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 46′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 53′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Roughing
- 55′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 64′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 65′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 68′Panathinaikos, goal:2–1assist
- 70′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 76′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 77′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Tripping
- 80′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 81′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Panathinaikos
CSKA Sofia
Match report
Panathinaikos edge CSKA Sofia 2-1 to extend winning run
Panathinaikos beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 at the Olympic Stadium of Athens in matchday 3 of the UEFA Europa Conference League's league stage, a result that stretched their winning run to six games. The hosts took the lead late in the first half, were pegged back within three minutes, and settled the contest midway through the second period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Davide Calabria put Panathinaikos ahead in the 41st minute, converting a delivery from Vicente Taborda. CSKA Sofia answered in the 44th when Dinis Almeida scored from Stefano Sensi's assist, and the sides went in level at 1-1.
The decisive goal arrived in the 68th minute, Taborda himself finishing after Andrews Tetteh set him up to make it 2-1. Panathinaikos dominated the match, holding 62% of possession and having 23 shots to 9, with 12 on target against five for the visitors. They also won ten corners to four, and four of their players were booked, while CSKA Sofia had none cautioned.
CSKA Sofia, who have now gone six games without a win, next host Trabzonspor in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 26 November. Panathinaikos travel to Iraklis in the Super League Greece on Sunday 8 November.
Davide Calabria scored the opener in the 41st minute and carried the match's top rating of 8.9. Fedor Lapoukhov was the best-rated player on the losing side with 8.6.
Panathinaikos had 23 shots to 9, a gap that reflected their control of the match.
Panathinaikos beat CSKA Sofia 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Panathinaikos met CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium. Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim.
Team pages: Panathinaikos · CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Davide Calabria (assist: Vicente Taborda) — 1–0
- 44' Goal: Dinis Almeida (assist: Stefano Sensi) — 1–1
- 68' Goal: Vicente Taborda (assist: Andrews Tetteh) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Panathinaikos (4-2-3-1)
CSKA Sofia (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Panathinaikos 67%, the draw 19%, CSKA Sofia 14%. It finished Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia.
Panathinaikos lead on a clear strength gap — We give Panathinaikos 67% mainly because they sit 167 points higher on our strength rating, 1603 to 1436, with the usual home advantage adding to it. The draw sits at 19%, close to the usual rate of 20% for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 2.9 goals.
Why Panathinaikos at 67%?
Panathinaikos sit 167 points higher on our strength rating — 1603 to 1436. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 7,093 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 67–19–14.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and CSKA Sofia at 14%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,348.
What did we measure but not count?
Panathinaikos have averaged 11 percentage points more possession than CSKA Sofia in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. CSKA Sofia are 2 games into a new manager (Markus Gisdol), appointed 21 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia. Explore more on the Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.